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April 16, 2015

South Korean Submarines, 3,000+ ton KSS-III, Nuclear Potential

See detail on possible South Korean nuclear submarine technology in redded KSS-N sub-heading below.

One of South Korea's (international convention of just "Korea" now used) nine Chang Bogo class (KSS-Is). Korea is completing a sale of three to Indonesia.
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One of Korea's four Son Won-Il class (KSS-IIs) in commision - five to go. Larger than the KSS-I and AIP equipped. Looks like a pre-launch ceremony. 
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With the KSS-III being described as a "3,000 tonne submarine" for a decade the above dimensions (very similar to the single hull Collins) may be accurate. The "3,000 t" would be surfaced displacement.
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A larger KSS-III? If its length is really 83.5 m and breadth/beam 7.7 m, then compared with the Collins (77.4 m, 7.8 m) the KSS-III's displacement appears to be around 3,400 tonnes (surfaced) and 3,800 tonnes (submerged). There are many other variables in estimating displacement of course! Other possibilities are that the above is a "4,000 t" nuclear KSS-N? or 83.5 is propaganda to equal the Soryu's 84 m length.
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Another model of what the KSS-III may turn out like. It appears to have 6 VLS hatches but a 6 missile Vertical Multi Purpose Lock (VMPL) is more likely.
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South Korea (international convention of just "Korea" now used) has a long and competitive ship-building tradition. Korea has the world's largest ship-building industry - with 41% of world market share (in first quarter 2015). This has put Korea in a good position to build German TKMS-HDW designed submarines (from kits?) since 1990. Korea has also has submarine export success and is perhaps well prepared to develop a 3,000-4,000 tonne conventional submarine. It faces threats even greater than Japan does - having a land border with North Korea and in much closer proximity to China. The Korean Navy has publicised its creation of a Submarine Command for reasons difficult to discern but perhaps to suggest an eventual capability of a pre-emptive or second strike nuclear deterrent.

South Korea's KSS-I, KSS-II and KSS-III building program suggest a goal of having a rolling average of at least 18 submarines operational and perhaps 22 to match Japan's medium term goal. The so-called "indigenous" submarine (KSS-III) project may still draw heavily on TKMS-HDW technology but "indigenous" also provides ambiguity if Korea needs to develop KSS-III into a nuclear propelled submarine "KSS-N" possibly nuclear armed. 

South Korea's strategy includes the creation of a pre-emptive strike "kill chain" (of threat detection, decision making-authorisation and (mainly missile) pre-emptive strike) against North Korea. Submarines would be a (or the) principal pre-emptive strike and counter-strike platform. Subsonic cruise missiles are generally too slow for these roles - making supersonic+ cruise and ballistic missiles the logical solution.


Used South Korean has two Dolgorae class mini submarines (above) launched 1990 and 1991, 175 tons, with two small 410mm torpedo tubes. They have crews of 14 and may be used for surveillance and perhaps special forces. They were acquired by South Korea to obtain initial experience with the basics of operating a submarine force and to train surface ASW ships in the detection of subs.

In 2011 South Korea indicated it would be building new mini-subs, known as KSS-500As, weighing 510 tons. They may operate only on Lithium-ion Batteries and diesel engines. 

KSS-Is and KSS-IIs

Korea's navy operates:

- 9 Chang Bogo class (KSS-I), a variant of the TKMS-HDW type 209/1200. In 2011 Daewoo Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering (DSME) won a contract to supply Indonesia with two pre-assembled Chang Bogos (to be delivered probably in 2016-2017) with a third Chang Bogo to be assembled in Indonesia (perhaps the beginning of an indigenous Indonesian production line!). The 9 KSS-Is have been regularly upgraded which may extend their service life past the usual 30 years. A major future upgrade may be Lithium-ion batteries fully or partly replacing lead-acid batteries - although such a retrofit may be very difficult. See NTI document for names of specific, commissioned KSS-Is and KSS-IIs up to 2011.

-  4 Son Won-Il class (KSS-II) as at April 2015. Five more are due to be commissioned by 2020. These are variants of the TKMS-HDW Type 214 submarines. Hyundai Heavy Industries (HHI) built the first three (commissioned 2007-2009). DSME, HHI and STX Offshore & Shipbuilding are alternately building the second batch of six with one of the six commissioned in December 2014 and the final one due to be commissioned in 2018. Like the KSS-Is the KSS-IIs carry some US built Harpoon missiles for anti-ship and possibly land attack. Like the KSS-Is the KSS-IIs are orientated to a surveillance, anti-shipping, anti-submarine and (a short range) land attack capability. 

KSS-III, 3,000-4,000 tonne Design - Conventional and Potentially Nuclear  

There will be eventually 9 (KSS-III) 3,000-4,000 tonne submarines.  See the 3rd and 4th pictues above that contain varying dimentions attributed to the KSS-III (also called "DSX-3000") which indicate its surfaced displacement may be anywhere between 3,000 and 3,400 tonnes. DSME will be the main designer. The lead KSS-III boat began development in November 2014 at DSME's submarine yard at Okpo. It my be a major step forward in utilising Lithium-ion Batteries (LIBs). The second batch of KSS-IIIs (especially if they use new technology LIBs) may take 8 years to build and launch (2024) and then 3 years to commission (about 2027). 

The larger size of the KSS-III will permit it to include some of the latest submarine technologies, including:

- large diameter unmanned underwater vehicles (LDUUVs)
- Seal/diver delivery vehicles (SDVs)
- dry-wet cells for special forces in dinghies/divers/Seals
- VLS or more probably the major advance of Vertical Multi Purpose Lock (VMPL) capable of launching 1,500+ km cruise and Harpoon missiles,, VMPLs are also capable of launching LDUUVs and SDVs. 

As well as retaining fuel cell (or less likely Stirling) AIP, KSS-IIIs could also incorporate features from the TKMS-HDW Dolphin 2 including the large rudder system and reinforced hull bottom which allow such a large SSK to operate in shallow, littoral waters. Also Germany's TKMS-HDW could provide assistance using features from the so-far drawing board only HDW 216 (intended to be a 3,000+ tonne design). 

One additional reason Korea is going the indigenously developed submarine route is that international political pressure on Germany would probably prevent Germany from openly assisting South Korea to develop the KSS-III in the medium-long term into a nuclear propelled KSS-N submarine, possibly armed with nuclear weapons.

The capability to use Tomahawk or indigenous Hyunmoo-3 series cruise missiles of 1,500+ km (far longer than the 140 km range KSS-I/KSS-IIs UGM-84 Harpoons) potentially makes the KSS-III much more effective against such additional threats as China and Russia. The future KSS-IIIs may also be capable of firing ballastic missiles.

The US may have been politically unwilling to supply the Tomahawk to Korea. Instead Korea appears to have incorporated many of Tomahawk's features into the Hyunmoo-3 series. By building an indigenous missile, warhead ambiguity is introduced. Korea is one of those countries (like Japan) that could develop a nuclear weapon in less than a year. Miniaturisation may be a major hurdle but a Hyunmoo-3 (or other cruise missiles) could trade range to achieve a heavier warhead than 500 kg.

KSS-III could best be described as multi-purpose. For a medium sized navy like Korea's KSS-IIIs (or KSS-Ns) could combine some of the capabilities that larger navies cover more comprehensively with distinctly different types, such as SSKs, SSNs, SSGNs and SSBNs. 

KSS-N, a Nuclear Development of the KSS-III? 

Korea appears to have long maintained an option of a KSS-N (also called KSSX-N and SSX) a 4,000+ ton nuclear propelled development of the KSS-III. On past plans see Globalsecurity.com report. However to date any plan has not occurred due to pressure from all of Korea's neighbours, US opposition and the necessity of building an indigenous submarine rather than a submarine that heavily relies on a foreign country (Germany). Also a nuclear propelled Korean submarine would diminish any chance that North Korea would remove/destroy its nuclear weapons and ballistic missiles. Korea might develop the KSS-N submarine if threats against it sufficiently increase and/or US military support diminishes.

Korea has long and extensive experience building nuclear power reactors - mostly large but still useful in any future development of submarine reactors. Interestingly DSME (as at April 2015) appears to be designing a "nuclear propulsion [surface] ship". This would have the legitimate purpose of meeting market demand for nuclear propelled, very large, ice-breaking, oil and LNG tankers. This activity also provides dual-use potential for submerged nuclear propulsion. 

In terms of an actual reactor technology path the Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute (KAERI) is also operating and further developing a small 100 MW ("SMART") pressurised water reactor with a output (at least) that may suite a 4,000 ton KSS-N. The SMART reactor's main current weakness is that it uses 5% enriched Uranium (U) 235 providing a poor power to size/weight ratio. 5% means SMART presently needs three year (overly frequent) refueling. Korea probably could legitimately develop the SMART at a higher (ice breaker surface ship) U enrichment percentage to make it much more useful as a submarine reactor. Korea has been seeking IAEA-US permission to develop a greater U enrichment capability but has been blocked. Although at a small amount-laboratory level Korea has a proven Uranium enrichment ability.

So Korea's indigenous submarine (KSS-III) program is well worth watching for its potential.

I'll do an article on North Korea's submarine situation in the future.

More Sources




Pete

February 22, 2012

South Korean Submarines KSS-II, KSS-IIIs and Nuclear "KSSX-N" Option

Simplified cutaway of Germany's HDW U-214 AIP (designated KSS-II by South Korea). South Korea has announced it will order/build a new batch of 6 AIP KSS-IIs.
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Please connect with Submarine Matters latest South Korea update South Korean Submarines, 3,000 Ton KSS-III, Nuclear Potential of April 15, 2015

The following Submarine Matters article was originally drafted in September 2009. 

South Korea (hereinafter called "Korea") is planning a large future conventional submarine, known as KSS-III and/or "Jangbogo III" displacing 3,000 tons (submerged). 
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Korea plans to design and build the KSS-III locally. The KSS-III will involve some advanced design and Korean production solutions of particular interest. The first KSS-III will also be built (launch date perhaps 2022) slightly ahead of Australia's future submarine (likely launch date 2027).
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The increased tonnage of the future KSS-III suggests that Korea is looking at a larger AIP system,  much longer range or a vertical launch system (VLS) (for first or second strike against North Korea using Hyanmoo III missiles) or a combination of the three.
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Korea's main submarine opponent is almost certainly North Korea. As North Korea is a nuclear and conventional threat to Korea and a constant infiltrator South Korea's main submarine task would probably constant intelligence gathering - including monitoring of intruding North Korean submarines. Korea also considers China a threat and (less likely) Japan or Russia.
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Korea's advanced nuclear power industry and the announcement that France is to assist Brazil in creating a nuclear powered Scorpene raises the possibility that Korea might consider nuclear propulsion in the distant future. Only a nuclear powered submarine has the sustained speed to chase/shadow one of China's emerging SSBNs or SSNs. Cooperative tactics with US SSNs would therefore be essential.

Background on KSS-III Development

From The Korea Times, May 10, 2009 reports:

"The Ministry of National Defense plans to deploy 3,000-ton [surfaced, 3,500 ton submerged] attack submarines after 2020, a two-year delay from the original Defense Reform 2020 initiative, a report said Sunday. ...The development of an [indigenous] 3,000 ton KSS-III submarine is a key part of the Navy's modernization programs. The KSS-III sub is to be fitted with domestically built submarine combat systems aimed at automating target detection, tracking, threat assessment and weapon control, according to Navy officials. The 1-trillion-won heavy attack submarine will also be armed with indigenous ship-to-ground cruise missiles and be capable of underwater operations for up to 50 days with an advanced Air Independent Propulsion (AIP) system, they said. The AIP system has improved the submarine's underwater performance and gives it stealth capability." full article

On South Korea's past consideration of a 4,000 ton nuclear propelled submarine (various names including "KSSX-N") option see this globalsecurity.com report. 

Pete

March 25, 2025

Heightened US ITAR Regs Blocking AUKUS: Also SK, NK, Japan, Canadian & Singaporean nuclear issues

In response to Shawn C’s comment of March 10, 2025, I (Pete) say:

Very true and disturbing about the possibility the US may retrospectively heighten ITAR regulations to block Australian access to US and US (via the UK) AUKUS technology. That may see the US reneging on AUKUS Pillar One (Virginia SSNs) and even Pillar Two "AI, cybersecurity and Quantum computing" including US Anduril and Australia DoD/RAN developed GHOST SHARK XLUUVs. 

Also the US could force the UK to block Australian access to US content/inventions the US passed to the UK eg. in UK reactors for SSN-AUKUS submarines intended for Australian in the late 2030s to 2050s.

I've been looking at the possibility of South Korea (SK) developing a nuclear powered submarine (variously called KSS-N, KSSN and KSSX-N) in several articles since 2012. See https://gentleseas.blogspot.com/search?q=kss-n  which yields:

"South Korean...Nuclear KSSX-N Option"
of Feb 22, 2012 at https://gentleseas.blogspot.com/2009/09/south-korea-has-bought-six-more-u-214.html

and

"South Korean Submarines, 3,000+ ton KSS-III, Nuclear Potential"
of 16 April 2015 at
https://gentleseas.blogspot.com/2015/04/south-korean-submarines-3000-ton-kss.html

What I suspect is currently an NK “nuclear submarine” mock-up or animation at http://www.hisutton.com/North-Korea-Nuclear-Submarine-OSINT.html  may partly be NK responding one better to South Kora’s https://www.world-nuclear-news.org/articles/korean-smr-powered-container-ship-design-revealed

The US has always actively prevented Canada from obtaining SSNs – see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Canada-class_submarine#American_opposition . This is due to US-Canadian national competition regarding Arctic sea lanes and resources and the US desire to retain its nuclear submarine ownership monopoly in “America’s Western Hemisphere”. Warming of arctic waters, freeing up shipping and submarine access, will only increase US determination to be the SSN monopolist of the Western Hemisphere.

Delays in SK being a potential SSN supplier to Australia includes the 20-40 years SK might take to produce a stealthy SSN design. It has taken the super or great nuclear powers decades to develop quiet SSNs.

Also SK (if unprotected by the unreliable US) is extremely vulnerable to land invasion or "nuking" by neighboring NK, China or Russia. Unlike France, SK has no nuclear deterrent to defend its future SSN shipyard and no current second generation Suffren class SSN already in the water.

Without the US protecting SK, SK's nuclear armed neighbours might take extreme steps to stop SK developing nuclear weapons, SSBNs or SSNs. The same goes for Japan. Japan modifying its 1970s-90s Mutsu nuclear ship reactor into  a submarine reactor https://gentleseas.blogspot.com/search?q=mutsu might be violently stopped by Japan’s authoritarian neighbours.

Interesting about Singapore's SMR studies. https://www.newcivilengineer.com/latest/case-made-for-smrs-to-be-built-underground-to-protect-from-military-and-natural-threats-25-11-2024/ of Nov 12, 2024:

“Small modular reactors (SMRs) should be built underground, including in city centres, to protect them from military attacks, seismic activity and other natural hazards, according to a new academic study. The recommendations come from a paper written by Nanyang Technological University (NTU), Singapore, S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies (RSIS) senior fellow Alvin Chew. Academy of Engineering Singapore fellow and International Society for Rock Mechanics and Engineering (ISRM) fellow Zhou Yingxin co-authored the paper.”

July 18, 2026

South Korean Nuclear Powered Subs by the 2030s: Predicted 2015-2021

Pete's earliest detailed comments on South Korea and its SSN ambitions were April 16, 2015's "South Korean Submarines, 3,000+ ton KSS-III, Nuclear Potential" at https://gentleseas.blogspot.com/2015/04/south-korean-submarines-3000-ton-kss.html 15 comments, 10,155 pageviews.

Pete wrote "S Korean nuke sub Reactor likely to be French K15 Variant" on December 16 2021 at https://gentleseas.blogspot.com/2021/12/s-korean-built-nuke-sub-reactor-likely.html 4 comments, 2,220 pageviews.
Please see text below: 

"...SUBMARINE MATTERS BACKGROUND AND COMMENT [written in 2021]

South Korea is leaning toward a [Low Enriched Uranium (LEU)] reactor solution perhaps initially on a South Korea SSBN - which will be based around the ballistic missile submarine KSS-III SSB. It is not surprising South Korea has long been in talks with France (since 2017 if not earlier) about South Korea building a variant of France's K15 LEU reactor. The K15 is on France's Triomphant class SSBNs and, in slightly smaller form, on the France's Barracuda-Suffren class SSNs. 

In Submarine Matters’ “South Korea seeks Submarine Reactors from US and RUSSIA” of October 22, 2019 South Korea may have concluded it is better to buy an existing submarine reactor or at least a ship reactor than totally reinvent a submarine reactor. 

Since 2017 (if not earlier) South Korea has been considering France’s new Barracuda SSN with its K15 (aka K 15 aka K-15) reactor. With North Korea's buildup of nuclear weapon and missile capabilities South Korea, in October 2019, has been testing any increased US willingness for South Korea to explore nuclear propulsion options. 

The Triomphant-class's 2(?) x K15s and Barracuda's single K15 reactor stands for 150 MWt  power which translates to a total of 30 MWe electrical power (for the French Barracuda’s non-propulsive electrical services hotel load + propulsion).

"In October 2017, the [South Korean] Navy commissioned the Seoul-based Korea Defense Network to conduct a five month study on the feasibility of developing an indigenous nuclear-powered attack submarine. The think tank reported in March 2018 the results to the Navy, suggesting the service build a nuclear attack submarine along the lines of the French 5,300-ton Barracuda-class sub. The French sub is fuelled by low-enriched uranium."

Now that the US and UK have given the green light to supplying Australia with a reactor under the AUKUS deal it is conceivable that France may want [to] supply just the Barracuda’s K15 reactor or transfer technology (including a reactor design) for South Korea to incorporate in its 4,000+ tonne KSS III Batch III building program. 

The Barracuda’s K15 reactor has the:

-  political/regulatory advantage of using LEU ie. less than 20% U-235 which South Korea sees as not being restricted by the NPT or nuclear Safeguards Agreements. This is compared to the political sensitivities and anti-proliferation regulatory restrictions (up until September 2021's AUKUS deal) placed on exporting/importing US and UK HEU submarine reactors. The UK/US reactors use weapons’ grade HEU of 93-97 percent (see p. 20). 

-  technical advantage of being built for a submarine of just over 5,000 tons, ie. in South Korea's KSS III Bach III weight bracket. While the
KSS III Batch II with 10 x VLS silos  has diesel-electric (also AIP) propulsion the proposed KSS III Batch III may eventuall have 12 to 16 VLS silos requiring an unusually large propulsion solution. Nuclear has been the solution for SSBNs built by the US, Russia, UK, France, China and India. 

-  Also Naval Group's assistance to Brazil to create a SSN, known as Alvaro Alberto [~5,900 tonnes submerged?], is highly relevant to the South Korean SSN (aka KSS-N) project, Alvaro Alberto's projected launch year (2029) and commissioning (2032-2034) may occur in the same timeframe as the South Korean SSN project.  At Submarine Matter’s 2015 article see the subheading "Brazilian Nuclear Submarine (SN-BR)” “There currently appears to be expectations that SN-BR will be around 100m long and 9m wide. This coincides with France's Barracuda SSN dimensions of: 99.5m long and beam: 8.8m.” 

-  So a A K15 variant first mounted on a South Korean SSBN by the early 2030s may be followed by mounting a K15 reactor variant on a South Korean SSN by the mid 2030s. In terms of vertically launched cruise or ballistic missiles the KSS Batch I features 6 VLS tubes, each with one missile. The KSS III Batch II [now features 10] and the KSS III Batch III perhaps 12 to 16. 

South Korea's neighbour Japan (a part strategic competitor of South Korea) is observing South Korea's interest in nuclear propulsion and ever larger submarines.

India, already having SSBNs, is interested in building 6 x Project 75 Alpha class SSNs with specialised SSN reactors. India is naturally talking to France's Naval Group. Naval Group is already  helping India build the 6 Kalvari-class Scorpenes, and bidding for India's 6 x AIP diesel-electric Project-75I SSK competition. Naval Group produces all of France's SSNs and SSBNs. So India can have far ranging discussions, on many topics, with Naval Group."

SubMatts article ends.

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Very recently, in July 2026, Bill Seney and I have been discussing the above topic:

"Bill Seney [said]

I have seen news reports:
https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2026/05/26/asia-pacific/south-korea-nuclear-submarine-2030s/

that South Korea [SK] is looking at a nuclear powered variant of the KSS-III. Given that US nuclear subs seem to be getting further and further away and that UK subs are at least 2 decades away is it worth Australia's while to look at a SK option?

Given that [SK] has yet to build a nuclear submarine I could see the project slipping or even facing cancelation, so it is high risk. On the other hand, we know SK can build diesel boats. Perhaps a mixed fleet, with initial deliveries of conventional KSS-III followed by a nuclear variant when available? If the nuclear option is cancelled Australia would still end up with a powerful fleet of conventional submarines.

7/15/2026 10:41 AM
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Pete2 [said]

Thanks Bill [I agree with your 7/15/2026 10:41 AM comment]]

I'll develop your idea as an article probably tomorrow.

I've long theorised here at SubMatts that SK would look to France's K15 LEU reactor for technology transfer. Also that the last KSS-III Batch 2 or Batch 3s would be nuclear powered.

Cheers Pete

7/15/2026 10:53 AM

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Bill Seney [said]

Thanks Pete

Something I forgot to mention in my earlier comment is that the KSS-III is about the same size as the American Skipjack class SSN, so a nuclear KSS-III variant should be technically feasible.
[Pete comment - Yes the Skipjack-class SSN (1956-1990) was indeed KSS-III sized, at ~ 3,075t (surfaced) & ~3,513t (submerged) and the
French K15 using, Suffren/Barracuda SSN is ~4,765t-5,300t] 

Also, if Australia wanted to partner with South Korea on SSNs we can provide not just uranium [Australia has the 2nd largest Uranium reserves worldwide] but enrichment technology [Australian invented SILEX] as well, something the Koreans may be interested in.

7/15/2026 10:53 PM
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Pete Comment

Whether the US and its changeable Trump card can play a useful part in SK's (at least 11 year old) nuclear powered submarine program follows in a week. 

Certainly the US has an international law "123 Agreement" hold over SK that transactional Trump will maintain unless SK pays the US the price Trump seeks, that may vary from week to week. 

August 31, 2021

S Korea richer than Russia: So SK SSBN might be Affordable

Below Japan's Nuclear Weapon Breakout Capability of August 27, 2021 Gessler  commented on August 30, 2021. Also note my redded responses/suggestions. Gessler said:

Looking at [South] Korea's Joong Ang Daily of August 29, 2021 "Expectations are rising that the Korean military will announce the development of an indigenous nuclear submarine within the year, according to military sources who spoke on the condition of anonymity..."

It seems the South Koreans are intent on following-up the KSS-3 with a nuclear-powered multi-purpose [called KSS-N aka KSSX-N] submarine of approx. 5,000 tons displacement & 100-meters in length. [This coincides with my October 25, 2019 report where an SK study looked at the option of using a French Barracuda class nuclear sub design, which just happens to be 5,000+  tons and is 99.5m long.]  Not that different in size & scope from India's Arihant-class SSBN [Arihant is an estimated 6,000 tonnes and 111m long]. Plus as per the article they'd want to put up to 10 x SLBMs on it, though these are much smaller/shorter-ranged ones than what are carried by the Indian subs.

Two points of note:

1) If they are serious about submarine-launched ballistic missile capability, conventional explosives don't make much sense, only nuclear warheads do. I believe you wrote a good piece on this very topic a while back.

[Yes in my article S Korea Hedging with its KSS-3 Ballistic Missile Submarines of July 7, 2021 I wrote: "(SK) deploying its KSS-3 ballistic missile submarines shows an intention to eventually arm the ballistic missiles with a deterrent warhead - which can only be nuclear...If the SK warheads remained just conventional high explosive this would confuse North Korea (NK) (and everyone else) as to why SK is building ballistic missile submarines of 3,500-4,000 tonnes armed with ballistic missiles with a TOTAL high explosive throw-weight of only 6 to 10 tonnes."]

2) If SK decides to go nuclear (both in terms of warheads & submarine propulsion), then Japan cannot be expected to sit back & watch considering they have a direct rivalry with the Koreans and the mutual distrust seems to be growing in recent times.

[Indeed. My article Japan's Nuclear Weapon Breakout Capability of August 27, 2021 talks about Japan having the 3 major components (delivery platforms, U and Pu explosives and nuclear device knowledge) for a nuclear capability for decades. Also see my S. Korean & Japanese Nuclear Submarine Propulsion & Weapons of April 12, 2020. At the DSME website is Nuclear Propulsion Ship]    

A declining & increasingly isolationist US might prompt both of its East Asian treaty-bound & nuclear umbrella-sharing Allies to decide to go nuclear independently as they might think the US can no longer be depended upon to fulfill its obligations.

[Very true. The US's surprisingly quick withdrawal (looking more like a retreat) from Afghanistan worries many/most allies of the US.] 

This is going to be an interesting decade, that's for sure.

[True. US isolationism or, at least, downgraded relationships with Indo-Pacific allies, may be more than just a Trump policy. There is a risk it may become a US bi-partisan policy, now led by Biden, with US public support, for years.] 

PETE COMMENT

It is difficult to assess how imminent an OFFICIAL South Korean plan to build SSBNs might actaully be. There has been speculation that South Korea might be interested in developing nuclear propelled submarines (presumably nuclear armed) since 2009 if not earlier. Normally South Korea press speculation comes from anonymous South Korean military tip-offs of the type in this August 2021 instance.

There are numerous addition articles at Submarine Matters on South Korean SSBNs, SSBs and nuclear warhead ambiguous SLBMs. Just click on https://gentleseas.blogspot.com/search?q=nuclear+south+korea+submarine+KSS and you'll see more than 10 artcles, particularly if you scroll down and click on "Next Posts".

I would say the US retreat from Afghanistan is one tip-off prompter. Ongoing North Korean nuclear threats another. 

But what may be worrying South Korea most is North Korea restarting its Yongbyon reactor in July 2021 with Yongbyon believed mainly there to produce Pu for nuclear weapons. Also the Yongbyon complex hosts a laboratory which may have been reprocessing spent reactor fuel since March 2021. Any IAEA and US protests seem muted with international attention focussed on Afghanistan.

At a minimum South Korea may be reminding the US of the US nuclear umbrella promise against North Korea. Although as South Korea is ramping up its vertical launch plans toward 10 missile silos for its KSS-3 (future) Batch 2s a later Batch with nuclear propulsion might be a logical step. I also flag South Korea's nominal GDP is equal to or greater than Russia's. So a South Korea SSBN is not as outlandish as many might think.

Gessler and Pete

December 16, 2021

S Korean nuke sub Reactor likely to be French K15 Variant

India's Bharat Express News December 14, 2021 carries the New York Times (NYT) December 13, 2021 article "South Korea has long wanted nuclear submarines. A new reactor could open a door." without readers having to subscribe to NYT. NYT's article is reproduced by Bharat Express here https://www.thebharatexpressnews.com/south-korea-has-long-wanted-nuclear-submarines-a-new-reactor-could-open-a-door/

SUBMARINE MATTERS BACKGROUND AND COMMENT

South Korea is leaning toward a LEU reactor solution perhaps initially on a South Korea SSBN - which will be based around the ballistic missile submarine KSS-III SSB. It is not surprising South Korea has long been in talks with France (since 2017 if not earlier) about South Korea building a variant of France's K15 LEU reactor. The K15 is on France's Triomphant class SSBNs and, in slightly smaller form, on the France's Barracuda-Suffren class SSNs. 

In Submarine Matters’ “South Korea seeks Submarine Reactors from US and RUSSIA” of October 22, 2019 South Korea may have concluded it is better to buy an existing submarine reactor or at least a ship reactor than totally reinvent a submarine reactor. 

Since 2017 (if not earlier) South Korea has been considering France’s new Barracuda SSN with its K15 (aka K 15 aka K-15) reactor. With North Korea's buildup of nuclear weapon and missile capabilities South Korea, in October 2019, has been testing any increased US willingness for South Korea to explore nuclear propulsion options. 

The Triomphant-class's 2(?) x K15s and Barracuda's single K15 reactor stands for 150 MWt  power which translates to a total of 30 MWe electrical power (for the French Barracuda’s non-propulsive electrical services hotel load + propulsion).

"In October 2017, the [South Korean] Navy commissioned the Seoul-based Korea Defense Network to conduct a five month study on the feasibility of developing an indigenous nuclear-powered attack submarine. The think tank reported in March 2018 the results to the Navy, suggesting the service build a nuclear attack submarine along the lines of the French 5,300-ton Barracuda-class sub. The French sub is fueled by low-enriched uranium."

Now that the US and UK have given the green light to supplying Australia with a reactor under the AUKUS deal it is conceivable that France may want supply just the Barracuda’s K15 reactor or transfer technology (including a reactor design) for South Korea to incorporate in its 4,000+ tonne KSS III Batch III building program. 

The Barracuda’s K15 reactor has the:

-  political/regulatory advantage of using LEU ie. less than 20% U-235 which South Korea sees as not being restricted by the NPT or nuclear Safeguards Agreements. This is compared to the political sensitivities and anti-proliferation regulatory restrictions (up until September 2021's AUKUS deal) placed on exporting/importing US and UK HEU submarine reactors. The UK/US reactors use weapons’ grade HEU of 93-97 percent (see p. 20). 

-  technical advantage of being built for a submarine of just over 5,000 tons, ie. in South Korea's KSS III Bach III weight bracket. While the 
KSS III Batch II with 10 x VLS silos  has diesel-electric (also AIP) propulsion the proposed KSS III Batch III may eventuall have 12 to 16 VLS silos requiring an unusually large propulsion solution. Nuclear has been the solution for SSBNs built by the US, Russia, UK, France, China and India. 

-  Also Naval Group's assistance to Brazil to create a SSN, known as Alvaro Alberto, is highly relevant to the South Korean SSN (aka KSS-N) project, Alvaro Alberto's projected launch year (2029) and commissioning (2032-2034) may occur in the same timeframe as the South Korean SSN project.  At Submarine Matter’s 2015 article see the subheading "Brazilian Nuclear Submarine (SN-BR)” “There currently appears to be expectations that SN-BR will be around 100m long and 9m wide. This coincides with France's Barracuda SSN dimensions of: 99.5m long and beam: 8.8m.” 

-  So a A K15 variant first mounted on a South Korean SSBN by the early 2030s may be followed by mounting a K15 reactor variant on a South Korean SSN by the mid 2030s. In terms of vertically launched cruise or ballistic missiles the KSS Batch I features 6 VLS tubes, each with one missile. The KSS III Batch II may feature 10 and the KSS III Batch III perhaps 12 to 16. 

South Korea's neighbour Japan (a part strategic competitor of South Korea) is observing South Korea's interest in nuclear propulsion and ever larger submarines.

India, already having SSBNs, is interested in building 6 x Project 75 Alpha class SSNs with specialised SSN reactors. India is naturally talking to France's Naval Group. Naval Group is already  helping India build the 6 Kalvari-class Scorpenes, and bidding for India's 6 x AIP diesel-electric Project-75I SSK competition. Naval Group produces all of France's SSNs and SSBNs. So India can have far ranging discussions, on many topics, with Naval Group.

December 21, 2023

South Korea's SS-084 may? be SSBN Prototype

Anonymous on December 21, 2023 commented :

"South Korea seems intent on getting SSNs as well. Not sure if Australia would be interested in getting involved in that program though:

https://www.navalnews.com/naval-news/2023/11/south-korean-admiral-claims-that-nuclear-powered-submarines-are-necessary/  "

Pete Comment

The future proliferation of submarine nuclear propulsion to Australia (under AUKUS SSN Pillar 1 or Tier 1) certainly removes the submarine nuclear propulsion taboo that held South Korea and Japan back.

I suspect South Korean (SK) talk of an "SSN, K-SSN, KSS-N, KSSX-N, and KXXN" are euphemisms for SK SSBNs. See Submarine Matters articles that use some of these terms since 2012.

My logic is SK SSNs might only impede North Korean, Chinese and Russian naval and civilian shipping movements and port access. SK SSNs would not constitute "deterrents" to those countries' populations, land and air operations or, most importantly, to those 3 countries' nuclear weapon establishments. Although any future SK SSNs could be threats to nuclear tipped SLBM launching North Korean  SSBs and Chinese and Russian SSBNs.

My logic also looks at SK's program of ever more capable conventionally propelled ballistic missile submarines (SSBs). They are the KSS-3s Batch 1s (SS-083, 085 and 086), Batch 2s (with SS-087 so far). SK tends to build 9 submarines of each class for its navy. Hence it built 9 Type 209s and then 9 Type 214s. So after it completes 6 diesel-electric KSS-3s (3 Batch 1s and 3 Batch 2s) there is likely to be 3 Batch 3s. They might be nuclear propelled.

Curiously there is no "SS-084" among the Batch 1s. To confirm no SS-084 see seaforces and militaryfactory and EuropeanSecurity&Defence. South Korean people please confirm this omission. If this is not a misprint I suspect SS-084 (which, at present, might be a hull only) may develop into an SSBN prototype or be the first
KSS-3 Batch 3.

Also note a potential Hanwha Ocean New Technology is its large "Nuclear Propulsion Ship" concept. A reactor to power a ship would have the beginnings of dual-use potential. While a large ship's reactor (with gradual acceleration and deceleration) would be large a marine reactor for an SSBN could also be large and configured for gradual acceleration and deceleration. In contrast a reactor for an SSN would need to be further miniaturised and would also need to cater for an SSN's rapid stop-start tactical motion needs and have other specialised features. 

For countries without the budget of superpowers it is easier to place a "largish" marine reactor into a large SSBN before you miniaturise it for a small SSN. French experience with the K15 marine reactor is a case in point. It was "largish" when  commissioned into the Triomphant SSBN in 1997 (or just before), 2 x K15s were probably even larger when they ran critical in the Charles de Gaulle aircraft carrier by 1999. But if the K15's size was the main impediment it took all of 20 years to miniaturise it into France's "small" Suffren Barracuda SSN when the K15 ran critical in 2019 or 2020. 

The KSS-3 ballistic missile of choice appears to be the Hyunmoo 4-4. If its potential targets are nuclear armed North Korea, China or Russia, then a Hyunmoo 4-4's only explosive option will eventually be a nuclear warhead deterrent. Forget warheads with only several tonnes of high explosive or chemical weapons - they are not in the typical nuclear 100+ kiloton league when it comes to destroying deep dug, air-conditioned against chemicals, bunker targets.

++++++++++++

I'll address Anonymous's Japanese SSN (or SSBN) issue later.

April 17, 2012

South Korean Submarine Developments

A very sketchy artist's impression. Might the KSS-III to be launched from 2020 look like this?
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Click to expand. Is the proposed DSX-3000 the same as the KSS-III?
--------------------------

Please connect with Submarine Matters latest South Korea update South Korean Submarines, 3,000 Ton KSS-III, Nuclear Potential of April 15, 2015.

From The Korea Times, May 10, 2009 comes:

"The Ministry of National Defense plans to deploy 3,000-ton [surfaced, 3,500 ton submerged] attack submarines after 2020, a two-year delay from the original Defense Reform 2020 initiative, a report said Sunday.

...The development of an [indigenous] 3,000 ton KSS-III submarine is a key part of the Navy's modernization programs. The KSS-III sub is to be fitted with domestically built submarine combat systems aimed at automating target detection, tracking, threat assessment and weapon control, according to Navy officials.

[Is the proposed DSX-3000 the same as the KSS-III?]

The 1-trillion-won heavy attack submarine will also be armed with indigenous ship-to-ground cruise missiles and be capable of underwater operations for up to 50 days with an advanced Air Independent Propulsion (AIP) system, they said. The AIP system has improved the submarine's underwater performance and gives it stealth capability." full article
-
A Korean nuclear propelled submarine option?:
On South Korea's past consideration of a 4,000 ton nuclear propelled submarine (various names including "KSSX-N") option see this globalsecurity.com report. 
-

South Korea's top in-service submarine at the moment is the 1,800 ton Son Won-Il (KSS-II) class. It is a HDW U-214 sub built under licence by Hyundai. Two are in service with four more to be built.
The photo is from "Manoeuvre' in Maritime Asia" a very interesting website on South Korean naval matters that I've just come upon.
-
Drawn from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/KSS-III - The first KSS-III ship will be ready for service by 2022. The previous plan was to have an operational unit ready by 2017. Due to the relatively heavy displacement of the ship (3000~3500 tons) and the fact that it will be built with local Korean technologies (sensitive technologies might be blocked from export) this new class of ship will have the Vertical Launch System, the first submarine in the Republic of Korea Navy to have this kind of capability. It will also have many other improvements compared to its predecessors.

- Pete

October 23, 2015

South Korean HHI's HDS-400 Small Submarine Mystery

Above is South Korea's HDS-500 (aka KSS-500A). Does Hyundai Heavy Industry (HHI's) HDS-400 look like the South Korean design concept above? Or does HDS-400 look like the TKMS Type 300 design concept below? 

A TKMS Type 300 (for 300 tons surfaced) design concept. (Diagram courtesy Turkish Navy "ship bucket")
---

It has been reported in late September 2015 at IHS Jane's Navy International and here, here and here that Hyundai Heavy Industries (HHI) is building a small submarine, known as the HDS-400, for a secret naval customer. Apparently one Kim Moon-ju, a Communications (Public Relations) Officer for HHI, would not divulge details of the customer. The HDS-400 reportedly weighs 400 tons (surfaced), is 40 m long, and has a maximum speed of 15 knots. Those specifications may suggest a submarine that can approach a well guarded enemy coast, insert or extract special forces or spies, or operate more securely in shallow seas. 

The main mysteries include who is the lucky naval customer and how is the HDS-400 propelled? 

One approach to answering such mysteries is to look at South Korea's small submarine record. I classify a midget or mini-submarine as 200 tons (surfaced) or less and a small submarine as over 200 tons. Since 2011 South Korea has been trying to market a design variously known as the HDS-500, KSS-500A and HDS-500RTN (when recently offered to Thailand). The HDS-500 design weighs 500 tons (surfaced), is 37 metres long and could be propelled by Lithium-ion Batteries (LIBs) alone with the LIBs charged from a generator on the wharf. No diesels means no noisy, exposed, indiscrete snorting is necessary. Or the HDS-500 could have diesel engines to charge LIBs.

Note that if the HDS-400 is launched before 2020 it might still rely on lead-acid batteries depending on how South Korea's and maybe Germany's LIB development programs are going. This recognises that South Korea has mainly relied on German Type 209 and 214 designs to date. A relationship that may partially continue.

If a 100 tons lighter HDS-400 is LIBs only this could widen its appeal both to the South Korean Navy as a customer or to a foreign customer.

Reasons the South Korean Navy may be an HDS-400 customer include:

-  need to trial the sub with realistic testing as it is an unusual size, battery only and new style LIB submarine.
-  if diesel engines charge LIBs it would be valuable testbed for subsequent LIBs on future larger submarines used by South Korea and perhaps by Germany. South Korea is developing a future larger submarine variously called KSS-3, KSS-III, D-3000 and KSS-3000 with perhaps a launch by 2025 timeframe which may be well aligned to use LIBs.
-  South Korea needs some mini-small subs to test ASW warfare forces and sensors. This is because its main opponent, North Korea, uses mini-subs frequently.     
-  South Korea's remaining two Dolgorae class mini-subs are still operational but were launched in 1990 and 1991. So they are nearing the end of their operational lives (2020) and need to be replaced if South Korea wishes to maintain a mini-small submarine capability. 

Reasons a foreign navy my be the first or later customer for the HDS-400 include:
A foreign customer need not be small as a small battery only (or LIB only) submarine could approach a coast that has a higher intensity of ASW sensors or shallower water than a standard size submarine of 1,000 tons upwards. Possible navies interested are many, including:

-  Turkish Navy that was considering TKMS Type 200 (diagrams below) and Type 300 (diagram above) designs in the past. Turkey has built and operates full size TKMS subs.
-  Vietnamese Navy - Vietnam will soon have all 6 Kilo subs in total  - in Comments for Submarine Matters recent Philippines article "Anonymous - from Europe" said "The Vietnamese Navy acquired several ["Yugo" class mini-subs of about 100 tons] from N-Korea to preserve the skills & knowledge and use them for Special Operations in the South China Sea ... rumors on Viet forums is that the VN-MoD has placed an order for 4 Hyundai HDS-400A. The first is under construction in S-Korea and there might be "ToT"? involved for the remaining units. The N-Korean midget-subs are nearing their service-life later this decade. This is an excellent opportunity for Philippine Navy to piggyback and place an order. VN can benefit from lower unit-prices. Those subs cannot win a war, but could very useful for recon, sabotage etc. Just like VN in 1990s they could be foundation a fleet of larger SSK later."
-  Taiwanese Navy. This might explain South Korea's secrecy. It would be easier to build and hand-over a submarine to Taiwan before China decides to publicly object. Just 400 tons makes an HDS-400 a defensive submarine.
-  the US Navy may want to trial the intelligence gathering and special forces value of a mini HDS-400 submarine. Also the US could use it in ASW exercises - given opponents North Korea and Iran widely use mini-submarines.
-  many other western-friendly navies that already have full size subs could be future customers

Western-friendly navies with limited budgets and/or have to operate in shallow water, include:

-  Royal Thai Navy
-  Philippines Navy
-  Sri Lanka
-  Bangladesh
-  maybe Myanmar/Burma
-  many in Europe, Africa, Middle East, Latin America

So, like the great Type 218SG mystery, the who is buying HDS-400 mystery? will eventually be revealed.



USEFUL WEBSITES ON MIDGET AND MINISUBS


This Wiki website mentions many other midget or mini-submarine consumer and producer countries. North Korea is a politically less popular supplier or on-seller. Yugoslavia, when it was one country, was a producer. Italy was a producer and still may be.

Covert Shores also has a wealth of detail and diagrams on midget or mini-subs.


Above and below are concept drawings of a TKMS Type 200 (200 ton surfaced) mini-sub design (Drawings courtesy Turkish Navy shipbucket)

Both the TKMS Type 200 and Type 300 designs can use strap on heavyweight (533mm) torpedos, one on each side, and/or lightweight (400mm or less) torpedos fired from torpedo tubes.

Pete