About subs, military/naval, missiles, nuclear weapons & enrichment; political issues. New Aussie subs have been just talk since 2009. The Collins LOTE 2028-2040? might help sub availability temporarily. UUVs help. POTUS 2031 may cancel AUKUS Virginias as USN needs all SSNs to the 2040s. Australian Gov ignoring higher priority US Columbia SSBN production is minimising Virginia production until 2043. Shawn C and Gessler are excellent authors.
Baltic Defence Review, a highly respectable all weapon types, multinational website, provides July 9, 2026 commentary on Canada's choice of the TKMS Type 212CD. Here are the rough construction timings between the German, Norwegian and Canadian 212CD allies, ---
I'd like to thank all you readers, from every country, and agency, as well as Shawn C., Gessler and Karthik, for contributing to Submarine & Nuclear Matters.
Please scroll 1/10th down the right sidebar and you'll see "Total Pageviews". Its now 10,000,000+ . That is the tally for about 1/3rd, or 6 years, of the blog's 19 year existence.
In celebration I now feature three favourite video clips:
Loreena McKennitt'sThe Mummers' Dance See Loreena McKeenitt's comprehensive description of the song and dance's significance by clicking here then on "LINER NOTES more". Also see. ---
I'll continue to write about submarines and many things.
In September 2021 the French project was terminated by Australia in favour of a US-UK AUKUS promise. This was made by a geriatric Biden and Prime Minister Boris Johnson who resigned a year later (after becoming deeply unpopular in the UK for other reasons). The first of the aging US Virginia SSNs (for which Australia has already paid A$Multi-Billion deposits) are unlikely to be delivered by Trump or his presidential successors to the RAN until 2046 - or maybe not at all. No pressure on the US because we've already paid huge deposits.
Failing that the UK may design and build an SSN-AUKUS at Barrow, UK, in the mid 2050s. Australia is unable to build an SSN - especially the reactor half.
Even during the Collins selection process, from the 1970s, Australia avoided choosing TKMS, because TKMS is too large and efficient, hence not reliant on Australian politicisation of all things submarine.
Hi Anonymouses at 6/20/2026 6:14 AM and at 6/20/2026 9:47 AM
I acknowledge your greater expertise than I on future Canadian Submarine issues. I think the odds are SK 45% and Germany 55%.
The KSS-III might be a slightly better sub. But the Type 212CD has the political alliance advantage (Canada being in NATO) of being from fellow NATO country (Germany). Also the main allies the new sub will need to interoperate with are in NATO (against Russia).
Canada would have less interest in interoperating with SK against NK or China or for that matter against SK's "frenemy" Japan. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Frenemy
"Prime Minister Mark Carney is in Halifax, where sources anticipate a defence update that includes submarine plans.
Carney is scheduled to tour a Canadian Armed Forces base at 4:50 p.m. Monday [ie. 5.50am Tuesday July 7 Sydney time] according to his public itinerary. He is set to make an announcement around 5:10 p.m. [ie. 6.10am Tuesday July 7 Sydney time - good time to watch the World Cup beforehand :-]
His office said the measures will focus on making Canada more secure, more resilient and more prosperous.
Alex Allan is an award-winning multimedia journalist and graduate of Fanshawe College's Journalism Broadcasting and Digital Communication Management programs. He is based in Saint John and covers stories across New Brunswick. Contact Alex at allana@radioabl.ca.
Indonesia started pre-production work for its Scorpene Evo program in late May 2026, and has now announced that the first steel cutting for the first Scorpene Evo boat will take place this month, also revealing other key elements of the program.
Construction of the first boat is estimated at 4 years, with sea trials scheduled for 2030 and delivery in 2032.
Construction of the second boat begins in 2027, with sea trials in 2031 and delivery in 2033.
Note the PT PAL has stated that construction can be accelerated as workforce and manufacturing efficiency improvements are implemented.
Sub builder PT PAL has production space for “simultaneous build or MRO” of four submarines - as I reported last year, PT PAL has upgraded its Surabaya shipyard’s indoor production facilities, and may soon push for export orders, though a formal agreement with Naval Group has not yet been made.
Image: From Naval News. PT PAL Surabaya production facilities, note Submarine Hangar building on right of image.
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Follow-on Orders
Janes reported in mid-June that PT PAL will support the full integration of torpedo-tube-launched missiles for the second batch of two boats, and for all follow-on orders, and this also indicates that Indonesia has already held discussions with Naval Group about further batches of Scorpene Evo submarines.
Integrating a torpedo-tube-launched system will enable the Indonesian Navy (TNI-AL) Scorpene Evo boats to launch Exocet SM39 and upcoming SM40 ASMs, and potentially the LCM-NCM Mk2 very long-range cruise missile.
Indonesia's current Naval Chief of Staff, Admiral Muhammad Ali, stated in October 2023 that "the ideal number of submarines to support our forces is 12" to meet Indonesia's then Minimum Essential Force (MEF) requirements, now known as Optimum Essential Force (OEF). This means that a successful program could see production extend through the late 2030s, and PT PAL has expressed a desire to develop an indigenous design for export from around 2042.
As I mentioned in my 2023 article on Indonesia's Submarine Forces, this ASEAN country is the world's largest archipelagic nation, with four major straits. In 2026, the sole remaining Type 209 Cakra (401) boat is 45 years old and still in service, while the follow-on Nagapasa-class (Improved Jang Bogo) entered service from 2017 to 2021.
While the Cakra should be replaced by the first Scorpene Evo boat, the Nagapasa-class are still new boats, but Indonesia might dispose of them when they are due for Mid-Life Updates (MLU) around 2037, as it does not make economic sense to run two submarine fleets with different training requirements and supply chains.
Note:
While Naval Group has stated that the Indonesian Scorpene Evo will have a displacement of between 1,600 and 2,000 tons, Indonesian state news agency ANTARA claims the displacement is between 1,800 and 2,800 tons.