On October 12, 2019 Anonymous provided the following useful comments and calculations which compare: (A) Naval Group, SAAB and TKMS submarines against Length (L) / Diameter (aka Beam) (D) ratios, and (B) SAAB-DAMEN and TKMS submarines against Indiscretion Ratios (IRs).
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Where:
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(A) Length (L) / Diameter (aka Beam) (D) ratios
Naval Group, SAAB and TKMS have proven submarines with similar
dimension:
- Scorpene AM-2000 (displacement 1,870 tons (t); length (L) 70m; Diameter (D) 6.2m,
L/D = 11.2)
- A26 (1,930t, 63m, 6.4m, L/D = 9.8) and
- Type 218SG (2,200t, 70m, 6.3m, L/D = 11.1),
respectively.
To achieve a larger submarine (say for the Netherlands) with a displacement of 3000t (if required?) with a simple hull
extension (aka plug) the estimated L/D = 15-18 considerably deviates from
the optimal L/D = 7-10 [1]. SAAB and TKMS proposed new submarines with bigger beam (to achieve an optimal L/D) presumably based on the existing (Collins-class) or mature paper designed submarine
(Type 216). Unless Naval Group can offer submarine with optimal L/D,
a successful bid will be a long shot.
(B) Indiscretion Ratios (IRs)
On the basis of rough estimates [2] the Indiscretion Ratios (IRs):
- large SAAB-DAMEN A26 (3 x MTU diesels, LIBs, Stirling-AIP) = 3.8/%
- large 212CD (2 x MTUs, LIBs, FC-AIP) = 4.2%
So the IR of the SAAB-DAMEN A26 is slightly smaller than the 212CD's thanks to the A26's 3 x MTU diesels.
These IRs are far superior to IRs of LAB-submarines (around 12%).
There are two strategies to achieve a low IR by using LIBs:
- one
is a combination of diesels and AIP, and
- another is the adoption of high power diesels.
To achieve 4% of IR without AIP, SAAB-DAMEN needs 5 x MTU diesels [with LIBs] or 2 of the latest
KAWASAKI diesels [with LIBs].
[1] “Optimum L/D for Submarine Shape”, by M. Moonesun and others. Indian Journal of Geo-Marine Sciences, vol.45(1), Jan/2016, pp. 38-43 at
(Conclusion is on page 42) The main achievement of this paper is the
suggestion of an L/D = 7-10 as the optimal range for cylindrical middle body
submarines.
[2] Assumption: AIP is used for 50-days submerged surveillance in a 70-day mission. Power consumed per hour is 0.2MW (c = hotel load
0.15MW + propulsion input 0.05MW). Then, total energy to be consumed for the
surveillance is 240MW (e=c*24 hours*50days) consisting of an energy supply from AIP
(d = c*24hours*submerge period by AIP (a) = 4.8*a) and that from diesel
(j = 240MW-d). IR is related to daily energy supply (g = j/50days) from diesel
with electrical output (b), namely, IR = 100*g/(24*b).
- SAAB-DAMEN: a=20days, b=3*MTU=3.12MW, d=96MW, j=144MW, g
=2.88MW, IR=3.8/% and
- 212CD: a=28days, b=2*MTU =2.08MW, d=134.4MW, j=105.6W,
g=2.11MW, IR=4.2%
Submerged period by AIP, hotel load and propulsion input are estimated in various articles.
Pete Comment - Naturally many other technical, cost and Dutch content variables will be part of the Netherlands' future submarine decision. Also, as Submarine Matters October 11, 2019 article records, Netherlands' domestic political factors and international relations with supplier countries will also influence the selection. India is also considering the selection of 6 Project-75I AIP submarines.
Mainly Anonymous (Pete some editing, comments)
4 comments:
How do you feel Pete about running a progressive spreadsheet of what is being factored into these offerings. I do appreciate there is a vast array of data collectively but base data would would be a great quick reference for everyone.
Hi Lee McCurtayne
Doing a simple Table comparing 3 or 4 submarrines occurred to me when time permits.
A spreadsheet is much more complex undertaking requiring a deep knowledge of applied physics and/or engineering mathematics.
In any case the Australian defense industry is paying serious money for those with such knowledge.
Basically Australia doesn't want to employ me anywhere near submarines.
I must say the Americans, Japanese, British and French have expressed much more interest in my skills particularly on submarine international political analysis, over the years.
Cheers
Pete
Sorry Lee
I forgot to mention how supportive some Swedish (journalists, industry and ex-submariner) emails have been.
All I get from old, bold, ex-RAN submariners is "what do you know!?" and "know your place!" Except Rex Patrick, of course.
Cheers
Pete
P.S.
By "ex-RAN submariners is "what do you know!?" and "know your place!"" I meant C-boaters, not O-Boaters, who were good guys.
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