October 10, 2015

PM's Wife Honorary President, German-Australian Chamber of Industry and Commerce

Stand for TKMS at PACIFIC 2015 as depicted on the German-Australian Chamber of Industry and Commerce website, 8 October 2015 "This year’s biennial Pacific International Maritime Exposition garnered an intense international interest driven by the Future Australian Submarine and Frigate programs as well as other programs to upgrade Australia’s naval capabilities." (Photo and description courtesy German-Australian Chamber of Industry and Commerce http://australien.ahk.de/en/news-pr/news-single-view/artikel/pacific-2015/?cHash=37846a657255a170515190aad8a3463c).
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That the wife of Australia's Prime Minister is Honorary President of the German-Australian Chamber of Industry and Commerce has no bearing on Prime Ministerial or Defence Department decision making for what is Australia's largest defence acquistion competition. Germany is one of the three competitors.

Large German company ThyssenKrupp Marine Systems (TKMS) is offering the Type 216 submarine to Australia. "ThyssenKrupp Marine Systems Australia Pty Ltd" is listed as a Member of the German-Australian Chamber of Industry and Commerce in its "Member Directory" (see under "T" or "Thyssen" http://australien.ahk.de/en/members/member-directory/?no_cache=1 ).

There is no evident concern from the other two competitors (Japan and France) in the multi $Billion Australia future submarine (Project SEA 1000) contest.

It is unclear whether office holders have similar roles in any Australian-France or Australian-Japanese Chambers of Commerce.

Perhaps TKMS has already won, or lost, anyway?

As at [April 22, 2016] the website of the German-Australian Chamber of Industry and Commerce "Board of Directors" listed major office holders http://australien.ahk.de/en/about-us/board-of-directors/ including :

"Patron / Schirmherr:

  H.E. Dr Christoph Müller 

  Ambassador of the Federal Republic of Germany
President / Präsident:

  Ms Lucy Hughes Turnbull AO
  Turnbull & Partners Pty Ltd

Vice-President / Vizepräsident:

  Mr Paul G Koenig 

  European Australian Advisory Group
Vice-President / Vizepräsident:
  Dr Wolfgang Babeck
  Buse Heberer Fromm"


The "About us" section of the  of the German-Australian Chamber of Industry and Commerce indicates http://australien.ahk.de/en/about-us/ :

"AHK Australia - First Port of Call

Since its foundation in 1977 the German-Australian Chamber of Industry and Commerce (AHK) has become an important partner in fostering bilateral trade between Germany and Australia.
One of our main objectives is to advise German and Australian companies on market development and to support them in the initiation of business relations.
The Chamber is a membership organisation which offers an extensive networking platform; our know-how combined with the expertise of our partners makes us a strong and competent partner for all your business needs.
Our members come from a diverse group of industries. Membership is available to every (international) company involved in business relations between Germany and Australia."

October 9, 2015

Pakistan to receive Chinese submarines

Chinese video announcement. "Pakistan is to build 4 Type 035 Ming class submarines in Karachi and 4 AIP Mings will be supplied direct". (Youtube courtesy PLA-N)
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Chinese Ming class, Type 035 SSK, also may be upgraded to mount the Russian supplied Klub-S land attack missile. Similar to those fired by Russia at Islamic State targets in Syria.
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Pakistan has been keenly awaiting submarine assistance from its powerful Chinese ally and now details of the 8 submarines have emerged. Pakistan's Dawn newspaper reported, October 7, 2015, that:

"China will build in Karachi four of eight submarines that it is selling to Pakistan.
Minister for Defence Production Rana Tanveer Hussain told at the inauguration of the Defence Export Promotion Organisation (DEPO) Display Centre in the federal capital that the deal for the acquisition of submarines from China had been finalised and four of them would be built here.

He further said that construction of the submarines would simultaneously begin in Pakistan and China.

China, he said, would transfer the technology to Pakistan for submarine construction.

Mr Hussain did not specify when the construction would begin, but said it would be happening soon.

A training centre would be set up in Karachi for this purpose.


The minister did not either say which type of submarines were being purchased from China."

China, in recognition of Pakistan's government budgetary conditions, is providing affordable submarines on special credit terms with prudent technical upgrades. Upgrades may include air independent propulsion (AIP) and Russian supplied Klub-S "Sizzler" land attack missiles with a 300 km range - insufficient to reach Delhi but within reach of Mumbai.

HISTORY OF THE CHINA-PAKISTAN SUBMARINE DEAL

Tough negotiations between Pakistan and China have continued for almost a decade but have now been completed.


- March 9, 2011 The Hindu “Pak plans to acquire 6 submarines from China”


- March 1, 2014  Times of India story

- March 31, 2015 Dawn article  "ISLAMABAD:  Naval officials informed the Standing Committee on Defence Monday that the federal government has endorsed a summary to get eight submarines from China.".

- April 2, 2015 Reuters article  - - Pakistani Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif has approved a deal years in the making to buy eight submarines from China. A Pakistani government official said on Thursday, in what could be one of China's largest overseas weapons sales once it is signed. The  official...said the deal to buy the diesel-electric submarines would likely be signed by Chinese President Xi Jinping when he visits.


- April 2015 Chinese President Xi Jinping  visited Pakistan and a special agreement negotiated.

- October 16, 2015 Chinese journalists quote Pakistani officials who are talking up the  possibility of a China-Pakistan submarine deal. The article written by Qian Feng, councillor of the Chinese Association for South Asian Studies, quotes Pakistan Federal Minister for Defence Production, Rana Tanveer Hussain's announcement about the submarine deal with China, which Beijing or its official media is yet to officially confirm.

October 8, 2015

Russian Missiles Aimed at IS Targets in Syria - but 4 crash in Iran


Artist's impression of a Klub (NATO designation "Sizzler", Russians oftern call it "Kalibr") missile probably being used in anti-shipping mode. It may also fly low, below radar detection, in land attack mode. As Islamic State probably has no anti-missile defences the Russian Klub's fired overnight would have mainly flown high to maximise their range.
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It appears that 4 of the missiles Russia aimed at Syria actually crashed in Iran. Iran and Russia have not admitted the full extent of Putin's failure.

Several hours ago a force of four Russian ships in the Caspian Sea fired 26 cruise missiles 1,500 km to hit 11 Islamic State targets in Syria. The ships were the Gepard class frigate Dagestan and Bauyan-M class corvettes, Grad Sviyazhsk, Uglich and Veliky Ustyug. The missiles they launched from their VLS were Klubs.

This is Russia's first use of modern cruise missiles for land attack that I know of. The missiles were surface ship fired Klub land attack missiles. Similar submarine fired Klubs are owned by India and Vietnam and used in their Kilo subs.

The Klubs used are capable of hitting a target within 3 meters at a range of up to 2,500 km (according to RT). Actual variant of the Klub could be the land attack surface launched "3M-14T - DOD designation SS-N-30A"

The firing of the Klubs a day ago represent a Russian gesture that Russia is now a major player in Middle East interventionist, power politics. The US, with its presumption that it controls how interventions go, is unnerved by the rapid escalation of Russian military force in the hithertoo US dominated Middle East. 

Only a week ago it was the beginning of Russian fighter-bomber airstrikes over Syria. Now it is regional missile overflights - overflying the US client state of Iraq. Russia flying missiles over oil important Iran and Iraq presents quite a geo-political-economic headache for the US. 

Russia is very much aligning itself with religiously Shiite (Islamic) dominated Iran, Assad's Syria and Iraq. This unnerves the Sunni (Islamic) states that the US protects, including Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, the UAE and also Turkey (a country less religious but still mainly Sunni). Meanwhile Israel may welcome Russia providing support to Assad's rule in Syria. Even though Israel doesn't like Assad Israel would see the anarchy of terrorist groups (including IS) "ruling" Syria as worse than Assad.

Russian warships launching Klub cruise missiles.
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The missiles were launched from the Caspian Sea. Russia already had permission from Iran and Iraq to overfly their territory. The Assad government was pre-briefed by Russia about the missile strikes on IS. (Map courtesy RT)
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Airstrikes by Russia and the US coalition as at October 5, 2015. Note both Russia and the US have targeted the IS headquarters at Raqqa and IS near Aleppo.  (Map courtesy BBC).

Pete

October 7, 2015

TKMS and Saab developing Horizontal Multi-Purpose Locks (HMPLs)

As Australia's competitive evaluation process continues there are increasing options in terms of:

-  vertical multi-purpose locks (VMPLs) (most developed by the US and there called "Virgina Payload Tubes (VPTs)") and

-  horizontal multi-purpose locks (HMPLs) that are being developed by Saab-Kockums and TKMS-HDW. Saab may fit a 1.5 meter HMPL (which Saab calls a "Multiimission Portal") to the A26 submarines that Saab is building for the Swedish navy. 

VMPL and HMPL's are being built to potentially carry:

-  extra torpedos 
-  extra anti-ship missiles
-  extra land-attack missiles (like the Tomahawk)
-  diver swim out cell
-  diver delivery vehicles
-  an unmanned underwater vehicle (UUV) too large to fit in torpedo tubes, or 
-  UUV that cannot be reversed back into torpedo tubes.

This is a cutaway that TKMS released in September 2015, of a Type 216. The thick torpedo tube appears too large to be a 650mm torpedo tube. The inclusion of what may be a 1.5 meter tube may be TKMS's semi-public way of indicating that a horizontal multi-purpose lock (HMPL) is an option. It would be cheaper, lighter and involve less re-arrangement than the vertical multi-purpose lock (VMPL) that TKMS is also offering. (Courtesy TKMS via news-com-au)
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The proposed design of the 1,000 ton TKMS Type 210mod displays an HMPL (a grey tube) more distinctly. The HMPL sits below what appear to be 4 x 400mm (Baltic small style) torpedo tubes.(Courtesy TKMS website)
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The Saab Australia site image can be expanded here. Note large looking (perhaps 1.5 meter) HMPL or "Multimission Portal" (a Saab registered trademark).

The Saab site description indicates - "Saab's A26 [submarine] design includes a new innovative 6m x 1.5m Multimission Portal flexible payload capability with a lock system in addition to its conventional torpedo tubes. The lock system makes it easy for commandos to enter and exit the boat, and is large enough to allow the launch and retrieval of Unmanned Underwater Vehicles. UUVs are expected to play a larger role in future submarine warfare. They can already provide advance surveying and sensing capabilities, and their modification toward a combat role is a certainty. This will likely begin with coordinated decoying tactics, but UUVs are expected to graduate to active combat capabilities before the A26 leaves service."
A UUV exiting an A26 submarine via its Multimission Portal (Courtesy Saab A26 website).

Pete

October 5, 2015

TKMS Reducing Reliance on ASC in South Australia?

Chairman of TKMS Australia, Dr John White. (Photo courtesy Noelle Bobrige via News Corp Australia)
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 Model of a TKMS Type 216, the German contender for Australia's future submarine, at a defence exhibition. (Youtube published December 5, 2013).
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Full cutaway of a TKMS Type 216 (Courtesy defense-update) 
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Part cutaway of TKMS Type 216. Note at least one Vertical Multi-Purpose Lock (for Tomahawk cruise missile vertical launch and other uses) and some larger torpedo tubes (for swim out capability or LDUUVs). Crew may be an efficient 35. A small crew that takes into account Australia's usual  crew shortages). (Diagram courtesy TKMS via news com au). 
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COMMENT

TKMS in the West Australian (see article below) considers shipbuilders at Henderson, Western Australia, as more than capable of building sections of submarines and/or assemble whole subs. But TKMS is also saying most of the work can still be done in South Australia and that the Type 216 will have a longer range than the proposed Australian Soryu.

Much of the Future Frigate and Offshore Patrol Vessel work was prematurally promised to South Australia by Abbott on August 4, 2015. The work was meant to be announced after the planned October release of the 2015 Defence White Paper. But Abbott rushed forward the announcement to ensure MPs from South Australia voted for him in any leadership spill - this did not work.

Abbott's haste has confused the normal process of dividing up of shipbuilding work - a process that usually takes years. Clearly South Australia cannot get most of the work in Future Frigate and Offshore Patrol Vessel assembly AND Submarine assembly.

Now that South Australia feels entitled to all three shipbuilding projects this is an unworkable expectation from the point of view of other States and the new Turnbull Federal Government. This  entitlement would also compound ASC's famous inefficiency. ASC, which wishes to assemble the subs in South Australia, is currently building 3 Air Warfare Destroyers at a cost of AU$10 Billion (so far). That is 200% more expensive than the world's most efficient shipyards, in Spain and South Korea.

Hence contenders like TKMS (while being asked to compete themselves) are also trying to encourage some competition between the major Australian shipbuilders.

TKMS is hedging that work can be done in Western Australia, South Australia and Victoria. New Defence Minister Marise Payne, from NSW, will also need to guarantee that sections will be built in NSW.

One only hopes a Collins II "efficiency build" is not repeated - in Adelaide or elsewhere.

ARTICLE


Nick Butterly (in Canberra) for The West Australian, October 5, 2015, reports, https://au.news.yahoo.com/thewest/wa/a/29720117/german-company-backs-wa-for-subs/ :

German company backs WA for subs

TKMS "...says WA could play a central role in building Australia’s next generation submarine if it wins the multibillion-dollar contract to replace the ageing Collins Class fleet.

ThyssenKrupp Marine Systems believes the shipbuilding infrastructure at Henderson, south of Perth, is world-class and would be perfect for building sections of boats - or even entire submarines.

“There’s the capacity to do the whole submarine there if you wanted to,” TKMS Australia chairman John White said. “It’s really just a question of what the Government wants to do.”

TKMS is considered the leading contender to win the submarine contract after Tony Abbott was removed as prime minister. 

...[Nevertheless] "TKMS would base the bulk of its submarine work in Adelaide, where thousands of manufacturing jobs had been lost because of the death of the local car industry.

...WA-based shipbuilder Austal has long said that it would like to play some role in the submarine contract - possibly managing the project...." WHOLE ARTICLE

Please connect with Submarine Matters' Australia's $90 Billion Naval Shipbuilding More Complex Under New Government, September 29, 2015

Pete

October 2, 2015

Narco Subs and Low Profile Vessels Run Drugs

Semi-submersibles ('Snorkel Subs') capable of ballasting down to lower their surface profile, and controlling their running depth, but not fully submerging. These are quite rare with only a few ever captured. (Photo and description courtesy H I Sutton)
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This Japanese WWII Type A Ko-hyoteki mini-sub, captured by US forces on Guam, may be one source of inspiration for the size and even color of the Snorkel Sub at the top. Do drug lords do research?
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As with all matters submarine it was only a matter of time before Submarine Matters touched on Narco-Subs. A narco-submarine (also called narco-sub, drug sub and Bigfoot submarine) is a type of custom-made ocean-going motorised submersible or low profile vessel (LPV) built by drug traffickers to smuggle. They are especially popular with South American drug cartels to export cocaine to Mexico, then overland to the US.

The first known vessels, date to 1993, were low profile vessels (LPVs) that could not dive: most of the craft was sat low with little more than the cockpit and the exhaust gas pipes above the water. Newer narco-submarines are semi-submersible with snorkels designed specifically to be difficult to detect visually or by radar, sonar and infrared systems.

By 2008, US officials say they were spotting an average of ten per month, but only one out of ten was intercepted. Few were seized, as their crews scuttle them upon interception and they sink within a minute or so. By 2009, the US detected as many as 60 narco sub related events.

Cargoes carried are typically several tons of cocaine. They cost up to two million dollars to construct, the submarines can move enough cocaine in a single trip to make a small profit.

They are often assembled in the Columbian jungle/mangroves including heavy equipment such as propulsion gear and generators. Despite the costs, some of the craft are intended for one-time use, being abandoned at sea after a successful delivery such are the profits – but high dangers from law enforcement and other cartels.  

The design and manufacturing techniques employed in their construction have reflected skill and verve not often seen in Columbian society. The boats have become faster, more seaworthy, and of higher capacity than earlier models. An 18 m long narco-submarine can reach speeds of 18 km/h and carry up to 10 tons of cocaine. They are typically made of fiberglass, powered by a 225-260 kW diesel engine and manned by a crew of four. They have enough cargo space to carry two to ten tons of cocaine, carry large fuel tanks which give them a range of 3200 kilometers, and are equipped with satellite navigation systems. There is no toilet, and accommodation is cramped.


The complicated routes of narco-subs, surface vessels from South America to Mexico then on land to the US. See red arrows from bottom of map from Columbia to Acapulco and  Lazaro Cardenas in Mexico.
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Because much of its structure is fiberglass and it travels barely under the surface, the vessel is nearly impossible to detect via sonar or radar, and very difficult to spot visually. The newer models pipe their exhaust along the bottom to cool it before venting it, making the boat even less susceptible to infrared detection. They are most easily spotted visually from the air, though even that is difficult as they are camouflaged with blue paint and produce almost no wake. They have ballast tanks to alter the vessel's buoyancy so that they ride low in the water.

Typical Narco-Sub Specifications

Hull material: wood, fiberglass, or steel 

Length 12–24 m

Freeboard 0.5 m

No Li-ion Batteries 

Engines: single or twin diesel

Fuel capacity: 5.6 cubic metres

Range: 3,200 kilometers

Speed: 11 km/h or more

Crew: 3

Capacity 4 — 12 metric tons

Control: human or remote

On 3 July 2010 the Ecuadorian authorities seized a fully functional, completely submersible diesel electric submarine in the jungles bordering Ecuador and Colombia. It had a cylindrical fiberglass and Kevlar hull 31m long, a 3m conning tower with periscope, and air conditioning. The vessel had the capacity for about 10 tonnes of cargo, a crew of five or six people, the ability to fully submerge down to 20m, and capable of long-range underwater operation.

The most common "semi-submersible" are low profile vessels (LPVs) like the one above. A boat designed to run awash - very low to minimize radar cross-section and almost no visual silhouette. (Photo and description courtesy H I Sutton)
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In August 2005, U.S. authorities discovered an unmanned semi-submersible in the Pacific Ocean. What they discovered was a "torpedo"-style cargo container (instead of a full-featured self-propelled ship). It used a ballast tank (submersion control) to keep it at about 30m under water while being towed by a boat. This particular "torpedo" was planned to be towed by a fishing vessel. If a patrol ship is spotted, the "torpedo" cargo container is released. While still submerged, it was designed to automatically release a buoy (concealed as a wooden log so as to be mistaken for marine debris by authorities. The buoy contains a mechanism to temporarily raise and then lower its antenna and transmit its coordinates in encrypted form a few times per day.

Smugglers normally unload their cargo onto fast power boats for the final leg to shore and the semi-submersible is scuttled. None have been sighted unloading at North American ports or beaches. In 2006, a 10 metre long sub was found abandoned on the northern coast of Spain, where the authorities suspect the crew had unloaded a cargo of cocaine before fleeing. In March 2006, the Calabrian mafia ('Ndrangheta) ordered a shipment of 9 tonnes of cocaine to be transported by a narco-submarine from Colombia to Italy, but the vessel was discovered by the Colombian police while it was still under construction. More see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Narco-submarine


Inside of a low profile vessels (LPV) with the engine/fuel balancing the 100+kgs drugs in the bow-cargo hold.(Diagram courtesy H I Sutton).


Legal situation

When semi-submersibles are stopped at sea, their crews usually scuttle them, sending both the boat and the cocaine to the bottom in a minute or so and leaving no evidence of trafficking. Until 2008, in accordance with maritime law, the crew was rescued and, if there was no physical evidence of wrongdoing, released without criminal charges. To address this legal loophole, the US Drug Trafficking Vessel Interdiction Act was enacted in September, 2008, making it a "felony for those who knowingly or intentionally operate or embark in a self-propelled semi-submersible (SPSS) that is without nationality and that is or has navigated in international waters, with the intent to evade detection." The penalty is a prison term of up to twenty years in the U.S.

National security issues related to torpedo style cargo containers, semi-submersible vessels, and submarines used for smuggling and/or terrorist activities were reviewed in an August 2012 article in Homeland Security Affairs. Also presented are behaviours indicating shifts in methods of operating by drug traffickers and the corresponding risk to national security.

Pete