December 31, 2025

Truth or Fiction? Russian Submarine Reactors Sunk

From AI report possibly originating from the US and South Korean governments eg: see WON Sunwoo at South Korean news site CHOSUN ILBO of December 31, 2025 at https://www.msn.com/en-xl/news/other/russian-ship-sunk-transporting-nuclear-submarine-reactor-to-north-korea/ar-AA1Ti97k?cvid=6953fedfa898469392b7bba19ac42889&ocid=hpmsn .

“The Ursa Major was a Russian cargo ship that sank in December 2024 while allegedly transporting nuclear reactor components intended for North Korea.

Background

The Ursa Major was a heavy-lift cargo ship that operated from 2009 until its sinking in December 2024. Originally built in Germany, it underwent several name changes before being registered as Ursa Major in 2021. The ship was managed by the Russian state corporation Oboronlogistika and was known for carrying large and heavy cargoes, including cranes and other equipment.

Sinking Incident

On December 23, 2024, the Ursa Major sank approximately 60 nautical miles off the coast of Cartagena, Spain, after a series of explosions ruptured its hull. Spanish authorities initially responded to a distress signal from the ship, which was reported to be listing heavily and losing propulsion. Fourteen of the sixteen crew members were rescued, but two were reported missing.

Cargo and Investigations

Investigations revealed that the Ursa Major was not carrying the declared cargo of empty containers and cranes. Instead, it was found to be transporting two VM-4SG nuclear submarine reactor [casings - each weighing 65 tons ], [see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/VM_reactor and https://www.bing.com/search?q=VM-4SG+reactor&PC=U316&FORM=CHROMN ]  which are critical components for nuclear-powered submarines. These reactor casings were believed to be intended for North Korea, potentially aiding its nuclear submarine program. The ship's unusual route from St. Petersburg to Vladivostok, passing through the Mediterranean, raised suspicions about its true destination, which was likely the North Korean port of Rason.

Circumstances of the Sinking

The sinking of the Ursa Major has been described as potentially resulting from an external attack, with evidence suggesting that the hull was damaged by an external explosion rather than an internal failure. The nature of the damage indicated a possible strike from a supercavitating torpedo [Pete Comment: Or a conventional torpedo or sabotage?] or an underwater drone, although the exact cause remains under investigation. Following the incident, a Russian naval ship arrived at the scene, demanding that Spanish vessels withdraw, which further complicated the situation.

Conclusion

The Ursa Major's sinking has significant geopolitical implications, particularly concerning the relationship between Russia and North Korea, as well as the ongoing tensions in international waters. The incident highlights the complexities of maritime security and the clandestine transport of military technology.”

[Much from WON Sunwoo at South Korean news site CHOSUN ILBO (here https://www.chosun.com/english/  and here https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Chosun_Ilbo  ) December 31, 2025 Title “Russian ship sunk transporting nuclear submarine reactor to North Korea” at https://www.msn.com/en-xl/news/other/russian-ship-sunk-transporting-nuclear-submarine-reactor-to-north-korea/ar-AA1Ti97k?cvid=6953fedfa898469392b7bba19ac42889&ocid=hpmsn  “Analysis suggests this aligns with evidence that North Korea is receiving Russian nuclear technology in exchange for deploying troops to support Russia’s invasion of Ukraine… The sinking coincided with confirmed reports of over 10,000 North Korean troops being deployed to support Russian forces in Ukraine.” ]

December 28, 2025

New Women Bosses, High Turnover in "Bondi Agencies"

The appointment of women as heads of security and intelligence agencies has been occurring only recently in Australia.

This began in February 2023 with Kerri Hartland being appointed Director-General of the Australian Secret Intelligence Service (ASIS) covering foreign intelligence. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Australian_Secret_Intelligence_Service

Then in September 2024 with Abigail Bradshaw as Director-General of the Australian Signals Directorate (ASD) covering signals intelligence and cybersecurity. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Australian_Signals_Directorate

Then October 2025 with Krissy Barrett as Commissioner of the Australian Federal Police (AFPhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Australian_Federal_Police

and lastly the early? December 2025 commencement of Kathy Klugman, in the most senior analysis and coordinating position, Director-General, Australian Office of National Intelligence (ONIhttps://www.oni.gov.au/leadership-team

Australia has subsequently suffered its worst intelligence failure with the killing by Islamist extremists of 15 Jewish people at Bondi Beach Sydney on December 14, 2025. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_Bondi_Beach_shooting 

Any misplaced gender connection can be discounted, as Mr Mike Burgess has held  the Director-General, Australian Security Intelligence Organisation (ASIO) position since September 2019. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mike_Burgess_(intelligence_chief)

Having 3 new bosses in 16 months (Sep 24, Oct 25 and Dec 25) may equal organisational and inter-organisational disruption, especially if male deputies, unwilling to accept the rapid influx of women, decide to quit. We'll never know, because these are largely secret organisations. Maybe Albanese might permit a less than a year inquiry. Ms Klugman might be well placed to talk to many senior security leaders and to Jewish leaders.

December 24, 2025

Trump-class Battleship?

This is all over the news, so I’m not going to repeat the well researched article from theWarZone.com regarding Donald Trump’s announcement of two 30-40,000 ton warships, which won’t begin construction until the early 2030s.  

Trump appears unaware that he is reprising the failed Zumwalt-class destroyer concept - so expensive, long in development and poorly armed that only 3 were built.

image: USN, via twz.com
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More information will come to light as this program expands, but the new BBG(X) project will replace the current DDG(X) program, which replaced the CG(X) project that ran from 2001 to 2020. The US Navy has been trying to procure a major surface combatant class to replace the retiring Ticonderoga-class guided missile cruisers for 25 years, none of which have come to fruition, while the Flight III Arleigh Burke destroyers are new boats built on a maxed-out, forty-year-old hull design. 

While the USN does not need two gold-plated battleships in the 2030s that will be too expensive to operate and too politically glamorous to get in harms way, like the Russian Kirov-class showboats missile cruisers, the USN does need a major surface combatant with a high VLS capacity, and integrated command systems for fleet operations, to act as the core node of a surface task group escorting a carrier or amphibious group, and the Trump-class, which is a multi-billion dollar vanity project by a president who’s ego is bigger than the Death Star, may eventually emerge as a sensible 20,000+ ton surface combatants in the USN.



On December 27, 2025, here 6:48 in and above, Retired Navy Commander Bobby Jones very clearly states why Trump's Zumwalt 2.0 vanity project will not work.
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Update 29 December 2025

Military YouTuber @PerunAU has produced a comprehensive video on the Trump-class BBG(X) that is worth a view, and noticed that the announced dimensions are almost exactly the same as an Iowa-class battleship.


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December 22, 2025

TKMS-Canadian Marmen Collaboration: Has Type 212CD Won the CPSP?

Does the TKMS-Canadian Marmen Collaboration Mean the Type 212CD has won the Canadian future submarine competition?

See Fatima Bahtić's NavalToday article TKMS teams up with Canadian manufacturer on Type 212CD submarine segments of December 19, 2025 at https://www.navaltoday.com/2025/12/19/tkms-teams-up-with-canadian-manufacturer-on-type-212cd-submarine-segments/

Pete Comment

I think only if South Korea's Hanwha Ocean has been eliminated from Canada's future submarine competition (CPSP) could a Canadian company be permitted by TKMS to have knowledge of highly confidential TKMS submarine design details and manufacturing processes. 

Also TKMS may be benefitting from the "NATO First" policy (eg. described in the UK) shift that may have benefitted Sweden's SAAB in winning the Polish submarine competition against (non-NATO country) South Korea's Hanwha Ocean.

December 21, 2025

Merry Christmas and a Peaceful 2026




Happy Xmas (War Is Over) sung with feeling by Canada's Sarah McLachlan.

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Genuine plastic Christmas Song: Holiday Barbie.

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More dignified a Celtic Trio and Choir from Ireland's Affinity Archive..
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December 16, 2025

Historic Marichka? UUV attack on Novorossiysk Kilo sub

Hi all,

Pete is doing fine, but Australia is mourning over the mass shooting, at Bondi Beach, on the weekend, with many security issues.

There was one incident, however, that I have to report on - the Ukrainian claim to have used a Sea Baby underwater drone to attack a Russian Kilo submarine in the Black Sea port of Novorossiysk on 15 December. 

image: Kyiv Independent
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If true, this is an historic occasion - the first military use of an underwater drone against a hard target in a conflict. 

I believe that H.I. Sutton’s hot take video is the best analysis currently available:



Now, there are a few points I have to make:

1. The Security Bureau of Ukraine (SBU) released this video, which means that it has access to the security cameras monitoring at Russia's 'secure' naval base in  Novorossiysk, like it had access to the security camera network monitoring the Kerch Bridge in the June 2025 attack that damaged its foundations. 

2. There is not yet any confirmation on which specific Kilo submarine was attacked, but the submarine Rostov-on-Don was destroyed in Sevastopol in 2024, which leaves the Black Sea Fleet with two operational Kilo submarines, which are used to launch Kalibr cruise missiles at Ukrainian apartment buildings and infrastructure

There's also an unsubstantiated theory that a puff of white smoke, ten seconds after the primary charge, indicates a limpet mine detonation on a second Kilo in this video. 


The Marichka (Ukrainian for Mary) UUV. Photo courtesy Ukraine's weapons' research and development agency AMMO via Joseph Trevithick at TWZ September 25, 2023
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3. The term ‘underwater Sea Baby’ is vague. It may point to the Ukrainian Marichka UUV, first identified in 2023 (see photo above and Youtube video below). Ukraine did ‘show’ the Marichka drone in 2023, but this could be a cover story. The size of this detonation, under the submarine, indicates a substantial explosive charge, very similar to the one that damaged the Kerch Bridge in July, which Ukraine claimed was a mine planted by agents. Was this attack by a UUV or naval divers? The SBU aren't saying.


Animation of Ukrainian Marichka UUVs courtesy Ukraine's weapons' research and development agency AMMO here and the Youtube here (voiceover in Ukrainian, but a picture tells a thousand words).
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The Black Sea Kilos are an enigma, as they are only used to fire cruise missiles at Ukraine, and have spent the majority of this 'three-day conflict' staying in their supposedly secure docks, first at Sevastopol, then fleeing to Novorossiysk in October 2023.

As claimed 'modern' combatants, their employment has been meek and cowardly. A more aggressive strategy would have them out on patrol picket to spot Ukrainian USV swarms deep in the Black Sea, or to send special forces against the Odessa coastline, or conduct an anti-shipping campaign. 

Addendum 17 December 2025

The WarZone has published an article based on recent satellite images of Novorossiysk, which show that Russia has moved three of the Kilo submarines, while the targetted Kilo remains at its pier-side. The images also show significant damage to the pier, about 20 metres away from the submarine, so it could have sustained damage to its propulsion system from the pressure wave of the blast.