January 10, 2019

"Kalibr-M" Resurging Russia's Brute Force Cruise Missile Approach

Following Russia May Develop a 4,500 km, 1 tonne, “Kalibr M”Missile [for ship/submarine launch] of January 9, 2019

KQN made the insightful comment:

“Russia's air launched stealthy Kh-101 is already speculated to have a range of 4500km. It flies at 6km altitude for the majority of its flight path. Its diameter is supposedly compliant to 533mm. So kalibr variant of similar range is clearly feasible even on a much earlier timeframe if sufficient funds are available.”

In response Thanks KQN. Yes Russia's "Kalibr-M Project" is like the P-800 Oniks also likely to benefit from existing work on the Kh-101 Air Launched Cruise Missile (ALCM). But a cruise missile launched from a submarine (SLCM) would suffer shorter range than an ALCM due to the SLCM needing to expend fuel and time to attain the high cruising altitude that an ALCM can more easily reach.

The "Kalibr-M" Project (self requiring a 1 tonne warhead, 4,500 km range) is a resurgence of Russia's 1970s brute force cruise missile technological dead end approach. Since the 1970s  cruise missiles were refined (US Tomahawk and Russian Kalibr) that are far superior, small container sized, longer range and have much greater accuracy.

Russia should be encouraged to shelve the Tomahawk like Kalibr and return to the bad old days of large platform, brute force, cruise missiles, deceptively named as "Kalibr-M". 

Meanwhile the West should continue with Tomahawks followed by even smaller-higher-explosive warheads, allowing longer range, missiles. 

In terms of missiles actually launched from ships and submarines, another supplimentary candidate as a technology beginning for the "Kalibr-M" is the the P-500 [brute force] Bazalt https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/P-500_Bazalt  (NATO name "SS-N-12 Sandbox"). Specifications include:

- 4,800kg, 11.7m long, 0.88m diameter, 1 TONNE WARHEAD (a specific spec for the Kalibr-M).

- turbojet powered (but can go "Mach 2.5"!) so trading off this high speed (with only 550 km
  range) for longer range may help attain Kalibr-M's 4,500 km requirement

- in terms of submarines Bazalt was used on the Soviet Echo II SSGNs and Juliett class SSK



Above is a modern development of P-599 Bazalt, known as the [brute force] 7 tonne P-1000 Vulkan (or Vulcan) (main source Wikipedia and footnotes 4 to 8 belowsubmarine launched cruise missile (SLCM). So P-1000 Vulkan (or Vulcan) may be a logical technology start for the "Kalibr-M".


"An improved version of the P-500 was installed on three Echo II [SSGNs] towards the end of the Cold War.[4] The P-1000 Vulkan (GRAU 3M70) presumably has the same firing range and maximum speed with the P-500 Bazalt (range 800 km[5]). The missile weight was increased by 1-2 tons. The missile has a turbojet engine and a starting powder accelerator. High-altitude flight regimes are presumably the same as that of P-500.[6]

The P-1000 was ordered on 15 May 1979[4] from NPO Mashinostroyeniya Chelomey;[4] it first flew in July 1982[4] and was accepted for service on 18 December 1987.[4] It was installed on three Echo II [SSGNs] of the Northern Fleet between 1987 and 1993; the conversion of two units of the Pacific Fleet, the K-10 and K-34, was abandoned due to lack of funds.[4] Of the submarines that did receive the P-1000, the K-1 was decommissioned after a reactor accident in 1989, the K-35 was stricken in 1993 and the K-22 in 1995.[4] The P-1000 has been installed on the Slava class cruiseVaryag,[7] and some sources report P-1000 missiles on her sister ship Moskva.[8]

     Naval Institute Press. p. 246.
8.  "US Navy's presence counters Russia's Black Sea fleet". Georgia Today (566). 17 June 2011.
     Archived from the original on 2 January 2012."


In the Youtube above is a simulated modern SSGN submarine launch of a P-1000 Vulkan (or Vulcan) missile for land attack (ticking many of the Kalibr-M boxes). Russian language:

1 sec - design bureau
7sec - diagonal submarine launch
12s - aircraft for test flight and/or targeting
22s - diagonal test launch from surfaced submarine. Evident is initial launch rocket motor dropping
        off with handover to turbojet
55s - Echo SSGN(?) or Yankee class testsub(?)

1m10s - graphic submerged diagonal (allowing submarine to move at approx 10 knots - which is
              faster than submarine speed during a vertical launch) launch of Vulkans
1:24 - animation, Vulkans rising to 24 km (78,740 feet) for efficient long range travel (?)
1:35 - submarine launched Vulkans (like future Kalibr-Ms) land attacking coastal targets 
1:42 - looks like 1970s-80s footage of Bazalt/Vulkan loading into one-off test sub
          "Yankee Sidecar(Project 667M Andromeda class aka "Yankee SSGN") modified from normal
           SSBN . This SSGN carried the number K-420. K-420 appeared in 1983, also testing 12
           SS-NX-24 nuclear-tipped cruise missiles.
2:04 - Submarine Pennant Number "160"?
2:14 - Likely Oscar class SSGN with side mounted diagonal launch silos
2:40 - successful test firing
2:48 - subtitle reference to "K-420" the one-off test submarine a Yankee class "SSGN"
3:10 - probably discontinuation of Bazalt/Vulkan advances in 1989 when Mikhail Gorbachev ruled
          over dissolving Soviet Union defense budget
3:50 - need for longer range Kalibrs for Russia's missions in Middle East. Importance of oil/gas trade
4:45 - time of Donald Rumsfeld (pictured) SecDef 2001-2006 US very active in MidEast.
5:01 - need to keep up with American submarine missile development. [Perhaps Russians are
          expecting a longer range development of the Tomahawk
          - maybe the Next-Generation Land-Attack Missile (NGLAW) ]

5:56 - launch of Yasen(?) (around 2010) (imprimatur of Putin presiding) and/or Akula SSGN the
           most likely submarines to carry advanced P-1000 Vulkans for land attack
6:10 - Akula?

Anyone who can add further meaning to the Russian Youtube (while citing Youtube minutes and seconds) are welcome. Comments welcome, of course. 

CONCLUSION

So the P-1000 Vulkan/Vulcan anti-ship and land-attack missile was developed and deployed on submarines during the disruption of the Soviet Union in the 1980s (dissolution of the Soviet Union 1991). 

As for many complex (now Russian) weapons' programs that disruption continues to this day. By associating itself with the successful Kalibr family (as the "Kalibr-M") the P-1000 Vulkan may again get funding to modernize it. This is given the tight Russian Defense Budget where many programs are competing for money and attention.

So the "Kalibr-M" (was P-1000 Vulkan) can be again put in production for wider deployment.

Again - The "Kalibr-M Project" (self requiring a 1 tonne warhead, with 4,500 km range) is a resurgence of Russia's 1970s brute force cruise missile technological dead end approach. Therefore Russia should be encouraged to again go down that route, while the West should continue to avoid it. 

Pete

January 9, 2019

Russia May Develop a 4,500km, 1 tonne warhead "Kalibr-M" missile

COMMENT
In a TASS article of January 8, 2019 (republished below) citing an unnamed source (Russian Government?) TASS announced a sea launched land-attack missile, dubbed “Kalibr-M” would be developed in the 2020s. 

"Kalibr-M" may, by the late 2020s, become a double the current (approximate 2,000km) range ie. 4,500km, heavier 1 tonne warhead, enlargement of the current 3M-54 Russian Kalibr missile. This new Kalibr is touted as being nuclear capable - but almost any weapon (from Russian 40kg, 152mm artillery shells upwards) are nuclear warhead capable.

To illustrate that reports of a double the 2,000 km range Kalibr have been kicking around for a while see on Wiki see Domestic variants, last dot point. specifically a 2015 reference to “range of 4,000 km” Kalibr.

The current Kalibr (and export Klubs) can be launched on land, by aircraft, ship VLS or by submarine VLS or 533mm torpedo tube.

If "Kalibr-M" is to have a diameter greater than a horizontal 533mm, or more rare 650mm, torpedo tube or becomes too long its usefulness for conventional submarines and many nuclear submarines will decline sharply.

Russian submarines have a long history of vertically and diagonally launched missiles that are larger than 533mm, So an enlarged “Kalibr” might be launched vertically and/or diagonally by the late 2020s.

Russia has many discontinued or current:
- larger than 533mm cruise missile types to serve as a technology base for an outsized missile body
   and
- deployed many different rocket and/or jet engine combinations for cruise missiles. 

One current cruise missile is the P-800 Oniks a 0.7m diameter and 8.9m long cruise missile. 32 Oniks in VLS might be carried by Russia’s new Yasen class multi-purpose SSGNs. While the The Oniks’ overall supersonic speed and only 400kg warhead are very different from a double range, 1 tonne warhead Kalibr the Oniks may provide a useful technology base.

So it is possible the “Kalibr-M” may be partly be an evolution of a more-cruise-turbojet reliant, and less-rocket engine-sprint reliant Oniks cruise missile.


See previous Submarine Matters articles on Russia using Kalibrs of December 9, 2015

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TASS Article http://tass.com/defense/1039123 January 8, 2019

"New Kalibr-M cruise missile with range of over 4,500 km in development in Russia - source

According to the source, large surface ships will be equipped with it, starting with frigates, as well as nuclear submarines.

MOSCOW, January 8. /TASS/. New Kalibr-M cruise missile with a range of over 4,500 km is currently under development in Russia for the Russian Navy, a source in the military-industrial complex told TASS on Tuesday.

"The newest high-precision ship-based Kalibr-M cruise missile with a maximum firing range of more than 4,500 km is being developed for the Russian Navy. The creation of the rocket is at the stage of scientific research and financed by the Ministry of Defense," the source told TASS. The source clarified that the development of the missile was included in the state armament program until 2027, and "the rocket must be transferred to the fleet before the end of the program."

The source added that the new missile will differ from the existing Kalibr missiles in service both in terms of its longer range and dimensions. "It will be much larger, the weight of its warhead will approach 1 tonne," he noted. According to the source, large surface ships will be equipped with it, starting with frigates, as well as nuclear submarines. "Kalibr-M is designed to destroy land facilities [known as “land-attack”] and will be able to carry both conventional and nuclear warhead," he said.

TASS does not have official confirmation of the information provided by the source.

At present, Kalibr missile system is in service with the Russian Navy. According to data from open sources, the maximum firing range of a 3M-14 cruise missile from this complex, flying at subsonic speed, reaches around 2,000 km.”

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See from 40 seconds in about Russia's Kalibr cruise missile generally. Submarines are particularly mentioned 3min 50secs in.
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Pete   

Australia's Barty Beats World No.1 Simona Halep in Tennis


As submarines are naturally related to tennis, with joy I report: Australian Women's tennis player

Ashleigh Barty (ranked 15th in world) in first Youtube frame and white tennis skirt (above)

has just beaten world No.1 Simona Helep in the

Sydney International Tennis 2019 competition in straight sets 6-4, 6-4.

Oh day of national rejoicing :-)

Pete

January 8, 2019

Virginia Block V versus Columbia SSGN Issues



Advances in whole of service life reactors may justify just 12 Columbia's, but cost, flexibility and anticipating future threats must also be factored into higher numbers of Columbia SSBNs.

Virginia Cost (Wikipedia): $2.7 billion per unit but then a total of $3.2 billion per unit with VPM. Meaning adding the Virginia Payload Modules (VPM) on Virginia class Block Vs will cost an extra US$500 million to total US$3.2 billion all up per Block V Virginia submarine. 

Building Block Vs with VPMs may depend on whether 4 or 5 Columbia class SSGNs are built! A Columbia SSGN may have 16 multipurpose Virginia/Columbia Payload Tubes (V/C PTs) (x 6 Tomahawks) with each Columbia SSGN having 96 Tomahawk SLCMs. 

Building 4 Columbia class SSGNs may allow flexibility to retrofit each V/C PT to fit Trident II SLBMs. This would help the US face unexpected increases in opponent SSBN or conventionally propelled ballistic missile submarines (SSBs) meaning that planning to meet the Russian SSBN threat is no longer the whole picture.

The US needs to factor in also meeting:

- 10 to 14 modern Chinese Type 096 and then 098 SSBNs all armed with JL-3 SLBMs, and 

-  North Korean, Pakistani and Iranian nuclear missile carrying SSBs 

Pete

Youtube of USS South Dakota's Trials


Published on Youtube a few days ago, January 4, 2019. Filmed on November 27, 2018.  (Film Credits courtesy  SSG Alexander C Henninger and SrA Jared Bunn via Gung Ho Vids )

Above is exterior and interior footage of the Pre Commissioning Unit (PCU) 
South Dakota(SSN-790), and a dive manoeuvre sequence from the control room.  South Dakota is the seventeenth Virginia-class submarine to join the USN.

36 seconds in - walking through a narrow cental corridor

56s - large by submarine standards galley. Where the crew seems to be hanging out, off duty. 
         Not hanging out in the torpedo room like in old SSKs.

1m 11s - bunks are still cramped

1:39 - senior petty or officer in control room declaring trial operating-diving

1:47 - while on surface submarine is operating in 2,500m water “beneth the keel”. 

1:56 - submarine will submerge to "155 feet" = 47m

2:24 - diving

3:00 - famous dolphin "fish" pin.

BACKGOUND

USS South Dakota (SSN-790) will be commissioned at Naval Submarine Base New London in Groton, Connecticut on February 2, 2019. 

South Dakota is a Block III Virginia. see on List. At Wikipedia:

PropulsionS9G reactor 40,000 shp (30 MW), Test depth+800 ft (240 m), 
Displacement7,900 metric tonnes.

Pete

January 7, 2019

How Australia Helped Save Apollo 13


As the submarine world remains pretty quiet at the moment, here is an Australian technical achievement:

Paul Shillito, an Englishman, of Curious Droid describes how Australia's Parkes radio telescope worked in record time to help reverse America's Apollo 13, near disaster in 1970.


While it is operated primarily for astronomy research, the Parkes, New South Wales, Australia, radio telescope has a long history of being contracted by NASA and other international space agencies to track and receive data from spacecraft:
·       In 1962 it tracked the first interplanetary space mission, Mariner 2, as it flew by the planet Venus, and in 1969 it was a prime receiving station for the Apollo 11 mission to the Moon.

  • In 1970 it was called in to help during the Apollo 13 emergency when an explosion crippled the spacecraft while it was en route to the Moon, and its Apollo support continued until the end of the manned lunar missions in December 1972.

  • In the 1980s the Parkes telescope was used to receive signals from NASA's Voyager 2 spacecraft and the European Space Agency's Giotto spacecraft, and in the 1990s it supported NASA's Galileo mission to Jupiter.

  • In the 2000s it tracked various spacecraft at Mars, and in 2005 Parkes was used in an experiment to directly receive signals from the European Space Agency's Huygens spaceprobe as it descended through the atmosphere of Saturn's largest moon, Titan.

  • Most recently, in 2012, Parkes played a support role in tracking NASA's Curiosity rover during its descent onto the Martian surface.

The fictional film 'The Dish' was based on the real role that the Parkes telescope played in receiving video footage of the first Moon walk by the crew of Apollo 11 in 1969.




The Parkes radio telescope.
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This story follows my comment of January 5, 2019.

Pete