April 18, 2016

Aus Gov "Continuous Shipbuilding" Announced - 3 Surface Vessel Classes, Shortlists

PETE'S COMMENT

Australia's Turnbull Coalition Government has made a major announcement today which covers a continuous building program for three surface vessel classes. These are Offshore Patrol Vessels (OPVs), Future Frigates (FFs) and Pacific Patrol Boats (PPBs).

The announcement, by Prime Minister Turnbull and Defence Minister Marise Payne, is in the Media Release, of April 18, 2016, below http://www.minister.defence.gov.au/2016/04/18/prime-minister-and-minister-for-defence-continuous-naval-shipbuilding/ .

The announcement is aimed at improving the Coalition Government's chances of winning the next Federal Election, which appears very likely to occur on July 2, 2016. [P.S. it did occur on that date]

The announcement in particular is aimed at improving the Turnbull Government prospects in South Australia, which is described as a swing state, where Coalition MP and Senate positions may be lost. South Australia was promised the FF build months ago and the OPV build was also thought likely in South Australia. This helps protect the seat of the most important Government MP in South Australia who is the Industry Minister, Christopher Pyne. South Australia is heavily contested between 4 parties: the Liberals, Labor, Greens and the emerging Xenophon Team.

The other major beneficiary of the announcement is Western Australia – with the most prominent MP being the Foreign Minister (also Deputy Leader of the Liberal Party) Julie Bishop. Austal at Henderson (part of Perth) Western Australia specifically benefits. Western Australia is normally Liberal, that is pro-Coalition but Labor is significant. The shipbuilder Civmec is likely to benefit in Western Australia. Civmec also owns Forgacs shipbuilding sections interests at Tomago, NSW. The Defence Minister Marise Payne is a Senator from NSW.

Cairns in Queensland gains from PPB maintenance.

The big loser is Williamstown dockyard in Victoria, considered a Labor heartland. The Coalition has few seats in Victoria to lose, so this shipbuilding announcement doesn’t favour or even mention Victoria.

A future submarine announcement, however, may benefit Williamstown Victoria, and also South Australia and Civmec Western Australia. If any announcement on submarines is made before a July 2, 2016 election it is likely to imply but perhaps not specifically promise that all submarines will be built in Australia. There is probably insufficient time and political risk in the run-up to an Election of specifying the actual winning contender (or a shortlist of two). 

The Media Release is below http://www.minister.defence.gov.au/2016/04/18/prime-minister-and-minister-for-defence-continuous-naval-shipbuilding/   In [ brackets I have put in hotlinks to the shortlisted vessel type or range of vessels] :
"Prime Minister and Minister for Defence – Continuous Naval Shipbuilding
18 April 2016
The Turnbull Government is securing a sustainable long-term Australian naval shipbuilding industry.
Today the Government is announcing the build locations for 12 Offshore Patrol Vessels and up to 21 Pacific Patrol Boats, in addition to nine Future Frigates previously announced.
These announcements provide for two shipyards to implement the Government’s commitment to a continuous build of naval surface ships in Australia. Major warships will be built in Adelaide and minor vessels in Henderson, Western Australia.
These three projects will ensure Australia retains a sovereign capability to build and sustain its naval vessels. Together they represent close to $40 billion worth of investment in Australia’s future naval capabilities and our naval shipbuilding industry.
They will directly secure more than 2,500 jobs for decades to come. They will also generate thousands of additional jobs with suppliers.
Offshore Patrol Vessels
·       First pass approval for the Offshore Patrol Vessels, with construction to begin in Adelaide from 2018, following the completion of the Air Warfare Destroyers and transfer to Western Australia when the Future Frigate construction begins in Adelaide in 2020.  This approach ensures that jobs and skills are retained in Adelaide.

·       As part of the Competitive Evaluation Process three designers have been shortlisted; 

     -  Damen of the Netherlands, [ a choice of two 1800 models  ]
     -  Fassmer of Germany, [ offering the OPV 80 ] and 
     -  Lurssen of Germany [ offering the PV-80 ]

     to refine their designs.

·       This program is estimated to be worth more than $3 billion and will create over 400 direct jobs.
Future Frigates
·       First pass approval for the Future Frigates. Three designers

     -  BAE Systems with the Type 26 Frigate; 
        [ https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_Combat_Ship Type 26 ] 
     -  Fincantieri with the FREMM Frigate 
        [ https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FREMM_multipurpose_frigate ]
         and 
     -  Navantia with a redesigned F100 
         [ https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/%C3%81lvaro_de_Baz%C3%A1n-class_frigate F100 ]

have been short-listed to refine their designs. The frigates will all be built in Adelaide, incorporating the Australian-developed CEA Phased-Array Radar.

·       The Competitive Evaluation Process is on schedule to return second pass approval in 2018, which will allow for construction to commence in Adelaide in 2020.

·       This program is estimated to be worth more than $35 billion, and will directly create over 2000 jobs.
Pacific Patrol Boats
·       Combined first and second pass approval for the replacement Pacific Patrol Boats.  Austal Ships Pty Ltd has been selected as the preferred tenderer to construct and maintain up to twenty-one replacement steel-hulled Pacific Patrol Boats in Henderson, Western Australia.

·       Subject to negotiations, this program is estimated to be worth more than $500 million and will directly create over 130 jobs.

·       Austal proposes to conduct support of the replacement Pacific Patrol Boats including deep maintenance from Cairns, Queensland. In total, through-life support and sustainment (including deep maintenance) for the Pacific Patrol Boats is valued at a further $400 million over the life of the boats.
Today’s announcements are central to the Government’s comprehensive Naval Shipbuilding Plan. These three significant ship builds will deliver the necessary infrastructure requirements across the Adelaide and Henderson shipyards. They will create new jobs, develop necessary skills and broaden cooperation between industry and government.
The Turnbull Government is committed to maximising the opportunities for our Australian Defence industry to participate in these shipbuilding programs. Through the Defence Industry Policy Statement the Turnbull Government will reset the relationship between Defence and industry, driving jobs and innovation which will have spillover effects into the wider economy.  In particular, the new Centre for Defence Industry Capability will help small to medium enterprises identify opportunities to join the supply chains necessary to deliver these ambitious naval shipbuilding projects.
After six years of Labor inaction in which more than $18 billion was ripped from the Defence budget, the Turnbull Government is getting on with the job of securing our long-term national security and economic prosperity. The Government’s historic continuous build program will ensure the Navy receives its future capability requirements while delivering the certainty that shipbuilders need."  
ENDS

Please connect with:

A good ASPI Strategist commentary on the coming congestion in Adelaide of building so many ship/submarine types, sustainment and upgrades - is Mark Thomson's "Building the future Navy: the OPVs" of 28 April, 2016.


Pete 

April 16, 2016

Has Germany's TKMS Won the CEP?

Hamish McDonald in Australia’s The Saturday Paper, April 16, 2016 https://www.thesaturdaypaper.com.au/world/south-and-central-asia/2016/04/16/japanese-unlikely-supply-our-submarines/14607288003128 has written a most surprising article with the expectation that Germany’s TKMS has won the Future Submarine CEP.

Here is a portion but its best to read the whole article at The Saturday Paper site.

“Japanese unlikely to supply our submarines”

"…The Defence Department is understood to have completed the “competitive evaluation process” called for by former prime minister Tony Abbott a year ago after his secret “captain’s call” in favour of Sōryū boats built in Japan caused a mutiny in Coalition ranks. Its recommendation will shortly go to the national security committee of Malcolm Turnbull’s cabinet…

…Increasingly, defence circles think the bid by Germany’s ThyssenKrupp Marine Systems looks the safer bet. An associated German shipyard provided the design and back-up for the RAN’s trouble-free Anzac-class frigate program. TKMS has built about 160 submarines since 1960, including 50 in the local yards of foreign navy customers, not to mention the hundreds of U-boats turned out by its predecessors in Kiel. At least the Americans won’t have to work with the French…"


COMMENT

I haven't seen other commentaries that Germany has won. The final decision still needs to get through the Turnbull Government Cabinet.

Nevertheless perceived German (TKMS) strengths include:

-  choosing Germany is less likely to offend China which genuinely fears a militarily resurgent Japan 

-  Germany’s long experience as a builder of submarines tailor-made for specific customer needs 

-  Germany makes the well known MTU 4000 diesel modified for marine use

-  Germany has the most experience and most success in overseeing foreign build projects (just look how South Korea is churning out Type 209s and 214s)

-  Germany is not dedicated to building new, possibly risky, Lithium-ion Batteries into a Australian submarine, but instead could build standard Lead-acid Batteries

-  Germany has no issues of difficult to weld submarine steel or short operational submarine life

-  Germany can supply the most advanced, proven air independent propulsion (AIP) if Australia eventually favours AIP


-  German designed 209s and 214s have already included some elements of the US combat system for US weapons including the Mark 48 torpedo.

Pete

April 15, 2016

MHI Establishes MHI Australia Pty Ltd in Sydney as Japanese Sub Visits

It is interesting that while a Japanese Soryu submarine is visiting Sydney the Japanese submarine bid leader MHI has established MHI Australia Pty Ltd. in Sydney. Note reference to "Future Submarine" in Media Release below.

Whether the Media Release:

-  reflects Japan has won the CEP, or 

-  is an offsets sweetener for a decision in favour of Japan

is unknown. 

The Media Release carried by Business Wire, April 14, 2016 at http://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20160414006763/en/MHI-Extends-AustraliaOceania-Reach-Establishing-MHI-Australia . Here is a portion:

"TOKYO--()--Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ltd. (MHI) (TOKYO:7011) launched operations at MHI Australia, Pty. Ltd. in Sydney. Creation of the new entity has two overriding ambitions: 1) to strengthen ties with Australia’s governmental institutions and economic and industrial sectors, and 2) to serve as a base for developing relationships with Australia’s academic bodies, including universities and research institutes. MHI Australia will help drive proactive sales support as well as broad information gathering to reinforce MHI’s business structure in the Australia/Oceania region as well...

… Upon inauguration of its new strategic entity in Australia, MHI President and CEO Shunichi Miyanaga commented: “Over the years, starting with delivery of a steam turbine for a power generation plant in Collinsville, a town in the suburbs of Townsville, Queensland in 1969, the MHI Group has supplied numerous thermal power generation systems, compressors, and metals machinery to Australia, helping contribute to Australia’s rapid development. Today, together with the Japanese Government, MHI is participating in the process to pick a partner for Australia’s Future Submarine program. With the establishment of MHI Australia, we hope to integrate the MHI Group’s full technological strengths and experience in large-scale project management across a wide spectrum of business areas. Working in lock step with the advanced initiatives being taken in Australia’s industrial and academic sectors, we will bring new waves of innovation in diverse Australian industries, so that we may grow and prosper together.”..."


See FULL MEDIA RELEASE AND CONTACT DETAILS AT BUSINESS WIRE.

Pete

Japanese Soryu Submarine Visit to Sydney from April 15, 2016


Japanese Soryu submarine JS Hakuryu in Sydney Harbour, April 15, 2016 (Photo above and below courtesy of Australia's ABC) 



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 The RAN's Fleet Base East, Sydney Harbour, is where the visiting Japanese flotilla (small fleet) is staying (flotilla being submarine JS Hakuryu and destroyers JS Umigiri and JS Asayuki),
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AUSTRALIAN DEPARTMENT OF DEFENCE, MEDIA RELEASE - 15 April 2016 


Australia and Japan practise interoperability off Sydney, 

"Royal Australian Navy and Japanese Maritime Self Defence Force counterparts have gathered in Sydney to conduct the bilateral Exercise NICHI GOU TRIDENT [loosely translated from Japanese as  "Australian Sun"] from 15-26 April 2016.

This exercise, which has been conducted between Australia and Japan since 2009, is an opportunity to develop and enhance the bilateral naval relationship by practising maritime skills and improving levels of interoperability between our two navies. This is the first opportunity to conduct the exercise off Sydney.

HMA Ships Ballarat, Adelaide and Success will take part in the exercise along with aviation elements including Navy’s 816 Squadron’s S-70B Seahawks and the Air Force’s AP-3C Orion and Hawk 127 aircraft.

Two Japanese Maritime Self Defence Force destroyers JS Umigiri (DD158), JS Asayuki (DD132) and one submarine, JS Hakuryu (SS 503) will also take part.

The exercise aims to improve interoperability and mutual understanding between the Japanese Maritime Self Defence Force and Australian Defence Force in selected facets of maritime operations.

The previous NICHI GOU TRIDENT was last held in Japan in October 2015."

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The Soryu submarine JS Hakuryu (SS-503) is in waters in and around Sydney from Friday, April 15 to Tuesday, April 26, 2016. Only observable inside JS Hakuryu is its standard lead-acid batteries and Stirling engine air independent propulsion (AIP). If Australia buys Japanese submarines they are very likely not to have AIP but instead will have new, high capacity, lithium-ion batteries.

Accompanying that submarine (in what is a small fleet (flotilla)) are destroyers:


-  JS Asayuki (DD132) of the Hatsuyuki-class, and


-  JS Umigiri (DD158) of the Asagiri-class


Each of these destroyers has a SH-60J(K) helicopter for mainly anti-submarine uses. 


Visiting Sydney, Australia, April 2016, is JS Asayuki (DD132) above of the Hatsuyuki-class. 4,000 tons full load. Range/speed is 13,000 km at 20 knots. Commissioned 1987. Upfront behind the gun is a Mk.16 (Type 74) ASROC anti-submarine rocket octuple launcher (this carries 8 rockets, each with a lightweight torpedo). Amidships are 2 x quadruple Harpoon launchers. This ship also has other guns, torpedoes and missiles (see right side-bar). One MHI built SH-60J(K) anti-submarine helicopter. (Photo courtesy j-navy.sakura.ne.jp)
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Visiting Sydney, Australia, April 2016, is JS Umigiri (DD158) Commissioned 1991. At 5,000 tons full load this Asagiri class  destroyer weighs 1,000 tons more than JS Asayuki's/Hatsuyuki class. Asagiri class range/speed is 14,870 km at 14 knots. Same armament and helicopter type as JS Asayuki (DD-132). (Photo courtesy qianzhan.com)
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Before reaching Sydney, which is Australia's major Fleet Base East, these three vessels stopped to visit/refuel at US Guam Naval Base.

These Japanese vessels should not be confused with a separate Japanese submarine, 2 destroyer, flotilla (submarine JS Oyashio, destroyers JS Setogiri and JS Ariake) that visited Subic Bay, Phillippines and then destroyers JS Setogiri and JS Ariake visited Cam Ranh Bay, Vietnam, in early April. That separate flotilla has probably returned to Japan.

S in Comments provided information from Japanese Ministry of Defence document http://www.mod.go.jp/msdf/formal/info/news/201603/20160309-01.pdf [right click mouse to Translate to English].

Pete

April 14, 2016

US Destroyer Recklessly Sails Too Close to Peacefully Passing Russian Jets

USS Donald Cook intentionally speeds up to 18 knots in attempt to intercept peacefully passing Russian Su-24 "Fencer" It is no coincidence the "swing-wing" Su-24 appears inspired by the US designed F-111.
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Captain of Donald Cook, Loootenant Commander Johnny "Cutey" Rambo with Yankee aggression shoots down peace loving fighter bomber.
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Days after US ships swooped dangerously close to Russian jets the White House remains deafeningly silent - and has no rhythm.

Footage of the incident, which took place on April 11 and 12 in the Baltic Sea, shows USS Donald Cook ruthlessly bristling with nasty Rambo within 100 feet of Russian Sukhoi Su-24 aircraft.

USS Donald Cook makes numerous passes at low altitude, buzzing over the cockpits of nervous pilots Yuri and love partner Ivan.

USS Cook appeared on collission course with Russian Baltic Sea Fleet base at Kaliningrad enclave only 70 nautical miles off its bow.

USS Cook then mercilessly attempted to reverse over a Russian Navy KA-27 Helix anti-sub helicopter seven times. Frightened pilots not same.

This is not first USS Cook attempt to rundown passing Su-24 fighter bombers. On 12 April 2014,  this time in the western Black Sea, USS Cook made twelve close-range passes over unarmed Su-24 "Fencer" fighter jet shrieking like Bambi on crack.

Bad, bad, Navy!! 

A new close in weapon system is being perfected to bemoan hapless Russian pilots...





Yankee provocation revealed.

April 13, 2016

Australia's hot SEA1000 Future Submarine website


The Australian Department of Defence's "SEA1000" Future Submarine website is surprisingly interesting.

At http://sea1000.gov.au/  click GET STARTED

“THE PROGRAM” at http://sea1000.gov.au/the-program/   introduces some bold claims of "affordable" and more puzzling "regionally dominant".
Dominant over who?
China?


Click "MENU" towards top left corner to navigate around the site.

Click http://sea1000.gov.au/submarine-essentials/faqs/ scroll down and you’ll see

"WHAT'S NEEDED IN AN AUSTRALIAN SUBMARINE?
·     These areas of importance to Australia’s sea borne trade and historically central to its defence, involve operations at great distance from Australian bases and support facilities.

·     To support such operations, Australian submarines will need to deploy further forward and earlier than surface fleet units if they are to build strategic deterrence of an opponent’s plans, as was done by the sinking of the ARA General Belgrano by HMS Conqueror.

·     This means that Australia’s submarines will have to go a long way to carry out their missions and be able to stay for periods of weeks to attack the enemy in times of war, to inform on developments in times of tension and to provide intelligence to support national security objectives in times of peace.

·     Existing off-the-shelf submarine designs cannot perform effective operations that comply with these requirements. Even at very slow speed for best fuel consumption they can barely reach pivotal operational areas in the South China Sea and the interface between the Pacific and Indian Oceans and even then can then stay for only a day or two.

·     These existing submarine designs can travel to distant bases only with extensive pre-planned logistics support. The recent deployment of a German submarine over the 8,500 kilometers from its home base to the east coast of the US could only be undertaken with an accompanying logistic ship in support.

·     In contrast, the larger Australian Collins class submarines regularly deploy the 12,000 kilometers from Fremantle to Hawaii (the distance from Washington to Athens) as a routine training operation.  Last year, HMAS Sheean completed a 37,000 kilometer deployment that included high tempo multi-national exercises off Hawaii.


·     Optimum operational performance under these conditions can be provided only by a submarine design considerably larger than the off-the-shelf designs. Crew must be large to ensure performance over long, intensive missions. As a rule of thumb, each crew member represents one day of mission endurance – the Collins crew is around 60.

·     Unsurprisingly, the off-the-shelf designs, with crews of around 30, are usually sent by their operating navies on deployments of less than 30 days.

·     To sustain larger crews, Australian submarines need the ability to provide, without replenishment, larger outputs of power, food, water and fresh air over long periods. Cooling demands in warm tropical waters require increased electrical capacity. Performing roles such as intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance requires equipment for which there is not enough space in the off-the-shelf designs.

Evil enemy sub sinks peaceful passing steamer.

THE END

  Pete