March 17, 2016

Might German TKMS Type 216 Win?


Uploaded on Nov 19, 2009 "The latest German submarines. Virtually undetectable, unlike diesel or nuclear submarines that generate more noise and/or higher heat signatures."
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Admiring a TKMS-HDW Type 216 (foreground), in the ThyssenKrupp Marine Systems (TKMS) Endeavour program for Australia’s future submarine are: (left) Dieter Rottsieper, Deputy Chairman, Executive Board, TKMS; Vice Admiral Andreas Krause, Chief of the German Navy; and (right) Dr John White, Chairman, TKMS Australia. A Type 212A is behind the 216. (Photo courtesy Australian Defence Business Review).
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After I published this article at 7:43pm, March 17, 2016 Australia's ABConline posted an article at 8.24pm that day, entitled "Germany argues political incentives in bid for submarine contract". 
Two major TKMS points in it were:
-  "…choosing their boats, unlike Japan's, would avoid inflaming tensions with Beijing." and
-  "…offering to build all 12 submarines entirely in Australia."


Cutaway of likely 216 (Courtesy Submarine Dossier)
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Uploaded on Feb 5, 2009. U-32 (S182) is the second Type 212A submarine of the German Navy. U-32 is powered by one diesel engine and an electric motor driven by two fuel cells and features a cavitation-free screw, making it virtually undetectable. U-32 was the first non-nuclear submarine to stay submerged for two weeks.
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Germany hardly mentioned in 2016 Defence White Paper

Mentions in Defence White Paper Japan 36, France 10, Germany 3. Not conclusive.

Some sound arguments by Dr John White can only help the TKMS bid.

But who knows?

Pete

March 16, 2016

Japanese Submarine Evolution "stronger, longer, more silent " and Operational Life

Above is the last page of the document History of submarine in our country - stronger, longer, more silent that S is referring to. Above is a Harushio-class submarine (left), second Oyashio-class (center) and Soryu-class (right).  
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On 15/3/16 9:27PM  S provided a Summary here (Pete has further translated and provided the links  below) of History of submarine in our country - stronger, longer,more silent :

[dated?]

[You will find the document is 15 pages of overheads (with photos, text, tables and diagrams) all in Japanese. If you right-click mouse - select "Translate to English" much is translated. Unfortunately the text seems to be lost if converted to .jpg pictures] 

Author: Toru Sato (Department of Naval Systems Development, Technical Research and Development Institute, Japanese Ministry of Defense [MOD]: 

Feature: The history of submarine built after WWII in our country will be reviewed from a technical standpoint.

Abstract: [the Japanese Navy] JMSDF has built about 50 submarines from the first Oyashio-class [a one submarine “class” SS-511, Laid down December 1957] which was [Japan’s first post war domestically built] submarine to the latest Soryu-class.

In hull form, from 195[7?] to1966, the:
-  first Oyashio-class [Laid down December 1957],
-  Hayashio-class [Laid down 1960, small, 59m long] 
-  Oshio-class [Laid down 1963], 
were underwater cruising-oriented submarines based on the pre WWII hull form.

 Graph similar to page 3 of the Japanese document. The steady evolution of Japan's submarines. Long history by class, elsewhere in Submarine Matters here. (Graph courtesy Australia's news-com-au)  
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From 1967, Uzushio-class, Yushio-class and Harushio-class were continuously built with tear drop shaped hulls, which were underwater speed-oriented. From 1993 to present (2012), [the second Oyashio-class and Soryu-class] with cigar shaped hulls were built. A partial single hull structure was adopted.

[Over the 1957 to 2012 period] various technical evolutions have been experienced, i.e:

- increase in submerged depth by improvement of steel welding technology and others;
- improvement in battery performance;
- extension of submerged period by using  AIP and other measures;
- equipment of [towed array sonar system] TASS and flank array sonar;
- [combat system improvements in terms of] improvement of sonar search and detection attack abilities by increase in processing speed;
- reduction of underwater radiation noise by reduction of equipments and adoption of damping steel alloy and material.

Our submarines have continuously evolved depending on the operation aspects, considering request of operators [Japanese Navy customer] and taking in latest technology. The direction of this evolution can be expressed as “stronger”, “longer” and “more silent”.

On that day, from a technical standpoint, all submarines of JMSDF will be visually introduced. [This is expressing the technical evolution of Japanese Navy submarines in visual terms].
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[On the Relatively Short Operational Life of Japanese Submarines]

S comments:

“Many people think short commission period of Japanese submarine is due to its short life time caused by degradation, fatigue, corrosion, and so on. But they are perfectly wrong, the short commission period results from require for continuous evolution. 

From standpoint of material science and design, designing and building of the weak structure which regularly degrades within defined period are much more difficult than those of the strong structure. In the former structure, perfect control and insight of key elements including prediction of future warfare, which are extremely difficult, is needed. 

As Japan unfortunately has not such high technology and insight, it can only build the strong structure.”

S (with some further translation and links by Pete)

March 15, 2016

Echo Voyager & Russian LDUUVs as Intelligence Gatherers & Propulsion Options

Youtube description "Published on Mar 10, 2016. Echo Voyager, Boeing’s latest unmanned undersea vehicle (UUV), can operate autonomously for months at a time thanks to a hybrid rechargeable power system and modular payload bay. The 51-foot-long [15.5 m] vehicle is the latest innovation in Boeing’s UUV family, joining the 32-foot Echo Seeker and the 18-foot Echo Ranger."
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Echo Voyager may be the largest of a rapidly expanding group of Large Diameter (or Displacement) Unmanned Underwater Vehicles (LDUUVs).

Much more sensor and propulsion capability for its small size can be packed into the Voyager because there is no need for manned life support equipment (no oxygen, water, food, or air conditioning) and far fewer safety measures. 

"Missions", 0:55 seconds into the Youtube, are displayed very briefly - so here they all are for slower reading:

-  Critical Infrastructure Protection [of naval bases, ports, coastal nuclear reactors, oil terminals]

-  Weapons Platform [small torpedos, mines and a whole Voyager might be rigged to explode]

-  Unmanned Aerial Vehicle [UAV] Operations [launching UAV]

-  Deep water Search and Retrieval. If the smaller Echo Seeker can dive 6,000 meters then Echo
   Voyager is highly likely to operate 6,000m down as well. For retrieval/laying

   of SOSUS/IUSS sensors, disruption/tapping opponents submarine cables/seafloor sensors working 
   with and in the special missions extension of  USS Jimmy Carter special missions and USS/USNS
   surface ships. 

-  Anti-submarine Warfare Search and Barrier. A small towed sonar array working with hull and bow
   sonars might be useful particularly against an opponents' SSKs and other large UUVs. 

-  Submarine Decoy. Acting like a slow moving or stationary submarine

-  Mine Countermeasures. Detecting and perhaps destroying mines

-  Battlespace Preparation. Gaining intelligence (eg. signals intercept and optical (via photonics mast)
   prior to a special forces operation on a beach or port

Improvements in the electrics, electronics and communications to UAVs will accelerate the development of UUVs like Echo Voyager. How autonomous Echo Voyager is will depend on the mission - particularly if it is used as a weapon (weapon uses would require closer human supervision). 

Its endurance of around 4 months and 5,000nm (max) will depend on its energy source. Lithium-ion Batteries (LIBs) may be standard. But a choice of hydrogen/LOX fuel-cell or small diesel engine may recharge the LIBs. 

ASW Uses

The increasing size and capabilities of LDUUVs are coming at a time when the capabilities of anti-submarine warfare (ASW) sensors and weapons are also increasing.

SeaWeb ASW sensors summarised as "eyes in the sky" and "ears in the sea" are becoming more sensitive perhaps making ever larger submarines all the more detectable. 

These are all putting traditional manned submarine operations at greater risk particularly slower moving conventional diesel-electric submarines (SSKs).

An SSK moving at its most efficient LIB or AIP speed of 4 knots may not realise that a very large LDUUV like the Echo Voyager has tailed it (in its "baffles") for two weeks. A 51 foot Echo Voyager is much smaller in length (hence stealthier) than a submarine. Even a WW2 Japanese 2 man submarine was 78 feet long.

An Echo Voyager may look large by UUV standards but it may be very difficult to detect if it is dull gray/black, remains at about 600 meters or deeper, has an anechoic coating and is its discrete propulsion.

Different Propulsion Solutions

Propulsion may come in at least three modes, depending on use and level of quietness (discretion) required:

1(a).  Maximum discretion might be achieved by advanced battery only (including lithium-ion batteries). A mother submarine (eg. USS Jimmy Carter) could recharge Echo Voyager while Voyager's is sitting on "Jimmy's" back behind the sail.


(above and below) Russia's Klavesin-1R ("Harpsichord") LDUUV. It, or a larger version, may be Russia's Echo "Voyager-ski". It is coloured high visibility civilian yellow but the military version would come in obscure Fifty Shades of Grey if tailing Western subs or tapping Western undersea cables, etc. Also see  http://gentleseas.blogspot.com.au/2015/08/russian-lduuvs-development-and-uses.html. 

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1(b).  The Russian submarine equivalent is a modified Delta IV (designated BS-64 Podmoskovye). This Delta IV could recharge the Russian equivalent LDUUV (perhaps Russia's current sized Klavesin-1R or an enlarged version). Note it could have been such a Russian LDUUV that was sighted off Stockholm, Sweden in 2014-15.

Delta IV BS-64 Podmoskovye is likely alternatively based at Russia's Northern Fleet when tapping Atlantic undersea cables and with the Pacific Fleet (after Pacific cables).

2.  To tail a submarine or reconnaissance near an opponent's coast considerable discretion but also greater range might be required. A hybrid advanced battery and fuel-cell AIP solution may quietly extend range.
  -  A diesel-snorkel combination (to recharge batteries) instead of fuel-cell AIP may be appropriate (though noisy at times).
  -  Reliance on fuel-cell with batteries that are only for backup is another combination.

3.  For non-military uses quiet (discrete) operation is far less important. A different hybrid solution may be appropriate. This time an advanced battery together with regular surfacing to run a diesel engine to recharge the batteries may be appropriate. 

Sideview of an Echo Voyager (Photo courtesy Boeing)
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Other major points about Echo Voyager are:

-  A military Echo Voyager could extend its range and mission capabilitities if it is considered disposable - on a one way mission. At the end of a mission non-explosive self-destruct equipment could be used to erase its hard disks and destroy other classified equipment. 

-  A 2015 gizmag article reported on Boeing patents for a UAV that turned into a UUV.

-  Voyager could use its antenna to regularly receive encrypted data to give it further instructions.

-  It could use small periscopes.

-  An unescorted, $multi-million Echo Voyager, when surfaced to run a diesel, may be rammed by a boat or ship. It could also be snagged (at any depth) by a trawl net. It could intentionally be "kidnapped" by economic opponents. So there are even civilian risks of unescorted operation.

-  Sea trials of the Echo Voyager are planned to take place off the coast of California in June-August 2016.

Pete

March 14, 2016

Air Independent Propulsion (AIP) Comparative Noise and Youtube

Australia's future submarines will operate against a much more formidable strategic opponent (China). China is developing and installing much better sensors to detect the sound of the loud (heavy truck like) submarine diesel engines that the future submarine needs to run about once every two days. China is filling out the strategic South China Sea with increasing numbers of anti-submarine sensors. This Sea may become a standard operating area for our subs.

When the diesels are being run is called low discretion. Ways to improve discretion include choosing nuclear propulsion, using better batteries and/or using Air Independent Propulsion (AIP).

Australia's future submarine debate appears to involve unquestioned assumptions of rejecting AIP in favour of a new fairly untested battery type, Lithium-ion Batteries (LIBs), that have never been used operationally.

Choosing Japan will involve choosing LIBs and rejecting AIP because Japan is specifically rejecting AIP.

Germany (TKMS) and France (DCNS) may adopt or retain AIP and use the old lead-acid battery type or, if encouraged, adopt LIBs.

To rejects AIP while adopting LIBs is a $Multi Billion dollar gamble for Australia.

This makes it all the more important to revisit (now and then) the relatively arcane subject of AIP - below .

AIP Section Loudness 

In recent Submarine Matters comment threads there has been increasing discussion about the comparative loudness or silence of AIP systems. This has come from comments of observers standing in submarines AIP sections on Youtubes or by viewers of the Youtubes.

There are several variables which could distort the sound for listeners within AIP sections including:
- their hearing adjusting up or down (were they last in quieter front of sub or in louder engine room)
- is the AIP being run near its max workload, low workload, or basically in neutral or turned off?
- how close are they to the AIP engine?
- is their hearing focussing more on the AIP because they've been asked to focus on it?

To someone listening to the AIP on Youtube variables can be:
-  the sound quality/distortion/age of the Youtube
-  how loud they've turned the Youtube up
-  are they relying on a mic within the AIP section?
-  do they already know through knowledge/reading whether the average loadness of an AIP is higher or lower than other AIP systems? At what submarine speeds (4 knots? 7 knots?).

1. Are there any good online links comparing AIPs (with tables, graphs and curves)?

2. What real significance does the sound of an AIP have to an observer within the submarine anyway?

3. Isn't the main attribute the ability of a strategic opponent's fixed or mobile passive sonar/SOSUS/microphones to hear the sound of AIP?

Comparing AIP Systems

presented an interesting Youtube commentary on Air Independent Propulsion Submarines" on May 1, 2010. Most of the information seems up to date. As the US isn't building AIP for submarine an American perspective may be more neutral.

 (David Schueler's Youtube starts off quietly. Sound kicks in at 00:25 (25 seconds).
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First 14 minutes maybe less interesting is about:
-  fairly well accepted (non-nuclear) definition of AIP. 
-  danger of 1940s onward for German, US, UK, Russian experiments with hydrogen peroxide AIP
-  US, Russia then UK steadily adopted nuclear "AIP" then US-UK full use of nuclear. 
-  up until about the 1980s no safe, practical AIP for submarine.

Youtube most interesting:

14:25 - detailing and implicitly comparing current AIP systems 

15:05 - Closed Cycle Diesel Engines no-one using – trialled many on years ago on a Type  205 but never adopted. Still offered by German Nordseewerke (?) for retrofitting?

17:00 - Closed Cycle Steam Turbine system engine active in French MESMA many efficiency limitations. High power delivery. Three Pakistani Agostas using.

18:55 - Stirling Engines. Simple mechanism, quiet. But large for limited power output, LOX heavy with usage effecting whole submarines buoyancy. Since 2010 Saab involved in development of more advanced Stirling.

[Existing use by Sweden and Singapore. For 2010 very advanced information on then new use on Soryu and on Chinese Type 041 Yuan. 

China may have reverse engineered, autonomously researched and parallel engineered, bought or illegally acquired dual use technology from Sweden. Or all of these methods.] 

23:00 - Fuel Cells (Polymer Electrolyte Membrane (PEM)) only exhaust product is water, low heat, stackable parallel arrangements depending on electrical need. Low power output (not good for high power use Combat Systems).

[Used on TKMS Type 212, Italian Todaro class, Dolphin 2, Type 214 (and soon 218). Maybe Lada using but insufficient information. Since 2010 increasing interest in developing more stable Direct Methanol Fuel Cell (DMFC). Also see. Likely future/current Chinese and Russian interest.]

26:45 - what AIP can do and not do. Good for slow gradual (no quick acceleration) movement. Not good for quick sprints. Pure hydrogen or pure oxygen can be dangerous.

Pete's Comments

The ease or difficulty a strategic opponent in a military setting can hear AIP counts more than reporter's perceptions in AIP sections. 

Variables for a strategic opponent may include ability to hear your AIP under different conditions of distance, direction, AIP sub hiding in holes and behind rocks (littorals), behind icebergs, depth/water pressure, water temperature, salinity differences(?):

Sound detection devices and networks available to strategic opponent: 
-  the sensitivity of passive sonar/SOSUS/microphones of (say):
   =  one listening submarine using bow and hull sonars and/or towed array sonar
   =  SeaWeb collection of many microphones on many platforms to triangulate your AIP. 

Basically it seems there is continuing interest in Stirling (with unknown Chinese adoption). Sweden and maybe China are steadily improving Stirling.

Main interest in Fuel Cell (including from French, Russian and Spanish(?)) especially Direct Methanol Fuel Cell (DMFC). US and Japanese civilian interest and development as well. Germany busy improving submarine uses.

Australia does not appear to be interested in AIP for the future submarine. This may prove dangerous for any 2+ week Australian missions in the South China Sea or further north than that.

BACKROUND ON AIP TECHNOLOGY

-  Air Independent Propulsion (AIP) Issues, April 23, 2015, and

Pete 

March 13, 2016

Japanese SeaWeb and Stealth Jet Detection Research - Quite Public

Modern SeaWeb (mostly underwater communications, detection and database) systems are no longer restricted to Cold War era seafloor wired together SOSUS sensors. As the diagrams below show - there is likely to be much greater use of multiple sensor (eg. LIDAR, infrared, magnetic anomally and sound) nodes that work to may platforms (submarines, UUVs, UAVs, USVs, surface ships, shore stations, patrol aircraft and satellites). 

Nodes may be fixed seafloor, tethered, surface floating, many platform mobile, popping-up to send data bursts to satellite (eg. wavegliders) etc. 

Underwater communications/relays between the nodes may be much more dependent on VLF-ELF radio waves or sound waves rather than cumbersome SOSUS cables.

All major naval powers have their research and installation programs. This continues with varying degrees of secrecy depending on national security culture. China and Russia maintain tight security while Japan or the US security may not be so tight (for reasons including commercial opportunities, organisational pride, and justifying taxpayer funding).

Discovered today is some interesting diagrams (below) from Japan's Ministry of Defense (MOD). Two from the Acquisitions, Technology and Logistics Agency (ATLA) http://www.mod.go.jp/trdi/saiyou/kenkyu.html.


Above is a Japanese SeaWeb concept diagram and description at http://www.mod.go.jp/trdi/saiyou/kenkyu.html as at March 13, 2016.

(Translation from Japanese by right-click mouse "Translate to English" and then by Pete)

Title Research of advanced underwater acoustic communication network technology (warships equipped Research Institute)

 In comparison with strong radio wave linear propagation, a sound wave in the sea is refracted in accordance with the change in the water temperature and water pressure. Sound wave propagation follows a complex path. Thus in order to stretch a digital communication using sound waves in the sea, it is necessary to suppress the influence of multiple reflections bouncing off the sea surface and the seafloor.

 Therefore, in this Japanese Defense Institute - to suppress the influence of multiple reflections, we conducted a study on advanced underwater acoustic digital communications that enables telecommunication.
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(Courtesy Japanese language document from Japan's MOD ATLA agency http://www.mod.go.jp/atla/ats2015/image/pdf/P12.pdf 2015 in connection with http://www.mod.go.jp/atla/ats2015/ )
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Above is a Japanese  concept diagram from http://www.mod.go.jp/trdi/saiyou/kenkyu.html as at March 14, 2016.

(Translation from Japanese by right-click mouse "Translate to English" and then phrase order rearrangements by Pete) 

Research of next-generation radar warning and control (electronic equipment Institute). We aim to further improve the performance of warning and control radar needed to respond in the future of stealth aircraft and ballistic missiles. 

Unlike previous performance improvements, which were acheived by the size of the antenna, a  distributed network of small antennas can be electronically configured to take account of the size of the attacking aircraft or missile. We are studying a distributed radar network to achieve what can be considered a large-scale radar equal to or higher than current detection performance.

Thus we shall apply the most advanced MIMO (Multi-Input Multi-Output) Radar techniques to achieve an equivalently large antenna optimally combining signals from a network of small antennas.

PETE'S COMMENT

SeaWeb - If readers type in seaweb on the upper left seach box of Submarine Matters they will see several detailed articles (words, diagrams, map) in English on SeaWeb. These are mainly from the US also from Singapore and Japan.

Radar Against Stealth - Presumably China and Russia (Iran?) are working on similar radar concepts as an air/missile defence priority. China and Russia have to face current Western stealth jets (F-35, F-22s and B-2s) while the West may still have 10 years until Russian and Chinese stealth jets become fully operational.

Pete

March 11, 2016

Potential Soryu Problems - Recalculations


CORRECTION - JAPANESE SUBMARINES EXTENSIVELY USE ELASTIC/RUBBER  MOUNTS FOR SOUND DAMPENING

There have been anonymous statements around the Web that claim Japanese submarines have no elastic mounts. Such statements are incorrect.

Retired Vice Admiral Masao Kobayashi, former Commander Japanese Submarine Service,  reported January 18, 2015, concerning the extensive sound reduction measures on Japanese submarines:

Pointing “to the ceiling lights in the quiet interview room and said: “Take those fluorescent lights, for example. Any fluorescent light generates sound.”

Other than our voices, there were no other sounds in the room.

“Fluorescent lights generate extremely small vibrations. We take anti-vibration measures for every single light in a submarine,” he said.

Japan’s engineers have painstakingly worked to minimize the vibrations given off by the multitude of components in submarines to prevent even those undetectable by the human ear from being picked up by the super-sensitive sonars of enemy subs and sonobuoys from anti-submarine aircraft, Kobayashi said.

Noisy components include fans, pumps, motors and fluorescent lights. Some are carefully muted with vibration-damping rubber, he said.

“The quiet submarines we have today are the result of numerous long, patient efforts,” Kobayashi said.

In December 2015 Takehiko Hirama, Commander of the Soryu submarine SS Kokuryu reported:

"We can go into enemy territory without being found out because we emit very little sound."

Every piece of the submarine is designed to minimise sound signatures or vibrations...All the electronics are also covered in rubber to mute any noise, and even the light bulbs have had their sound signatures extracted.”

Japanese Ministry of Defence (MoD) standards since 1970 have required Japanese naval vessels (ships and submarines) to have anti-vibration rubber. The aim of these standards is reduction of underwater radiation noise. These standards are based on two US Military Standards:

-  MIL-M-17191D(SHIPS)(MOUNT, RESILENT, PORTSMOUTH BONDED SPOOL TYPE, and
-  MIL-M-17508E(SHIPS)(MOUNTS, RESILIENT: TYPES 6E100, 6E150, 7E450, 6E900, 6E2000,
    5E3500, 6E100BB, 6E150BB, 7E450BB, AND 6E900BB)

Another Japanese MoD standard for anti-vibration rubber is NDS (Standards for Mod) F 7501D “Anti-vibration rubber of equipment for warship”. On page 18, 1. “This standard aims reduction of underwater radiation noise in warship” and page18, 2.(1)(c) “Conventionally, scope was limited to hull and main and auxiliary propulsion,

In terms of auxiliary propulsion the standard NDS F8004 2 covers anti-vibration rubber in relation to the Stirling AIP engine. 


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Click on image to enlarge.
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To calculate the Soryu's real size estimates were made using standard published information. On the basis of the cut-aways (top) and other published diagrams a side drawing, with meter measurements,  (immediately above) was created. This is all part of reverse-engineering the Soryu's principal particulars.

The conclusion (in summary) was:

-  difference between calculations and standard published information is 800 to 1,100 tonnes and

-  the Soryu is bigger by 25% to 33% in reality. 

A heavier submarine requires more engine power and fuel to achieve speed-range requirements. The disparity in surface displacement (2,900 tonne published, but 3,700 tonnes estimated) would particularly impact the Soryu's surfaced, speed-range. 

SPECIFICATION
CALCULATION

Pressure hull calculated volume:

3,300 m3
Pressure hull displacement:

3,300 x 1.025 (average seawater density) = 3,382 tonnes
Estimated ballast tanks:

500 tonnes
Estimated external fuel tank:



150m3 – 127 tonnes. Not sure much room left for more inside, even alongside batteries (compensating tanks and others need room too!)
Estimated submerged displacement:
  (4,200 tonnes published in wiki)
>4,200 tonnes (between 4,200 to 4,500 tonnes)
Estimated surface displacement:
 (2,900 tonnes published in wiki)

>3,700 tonnes (= 4,200 tonnes – 500 tonnes): (between 3,700 tonnes to 4,000 tonnes)
Estimated accuracy of calculations:

300 tonnes (7 to 8%)
Difference between calculations and standard published information:

800 to 1,100 tonnes!

Soryu is bigger by 25% to 33% in reality.


ANONYMOUS COMMENT


"So that tells you something about Soryu's real size...

The reserve of buoyancy is indeed 13-15% on that submarine (500/3700). Sorry, not possible to add more ballast tanks, because your submarine would be too high on the water. And the pictures tell us that Soryu's draught is around 7.6-7.8 m. So I made the calcs on my software tool, they check out. !

And yes, these two diesel engines (Kawasaki 12V 25/25 SB-type)'s power is unknown. Anyway, it will be less power in total than on Collins (with Collins 3 × Garden Island-Hedemora HV V18b/15Ub (VB210) 18-cylinder diesel motors), even with a favourable de-rating due to shorter life-expectancy.

Shorter life expectancy raises another interesting point: the Japanese  keep the same 2 Kawasaki diesel-generators sets on Australian Soryu but claim to extend Future Submarine life to 35 years; so either you de-rate their power by, say 50% and there is little left, or you ditch the engines every 15 years  (current life span of Japanese boats)? by cutting the hull (can their steel accommodate that?). At the end of the day, the winner is: higher indiscretion ratio than Collins! 


And fuel storage: largely inferior to what is needed. you would need to add 50% for the 3rd diesel and double the lot to have Collins legs. Issue: Soryu's design would become infeasible and diverge due to added length and drag etc...

SIMILAR DOUBTS

Geoff Slocombe, writing in the ASPI Strategist, March 11, 2016 also has doubts http://www.aspistrategist.org.au/sea-1000-is-there-a-strategic-necessity-to-choose-the-japanese-submarine/ :

“Modern European submarine construction uses a single pressure hull, while the Soryu class uses a combination of double pressure hulls for the forward and aft compartments, but with a different steel alloy from single pressure hulls for the intermediate four compartments. Does this create differential expansion/cracking and corrosion problems at the dissimilar metal junction and is this the reason why Soryu has a 20 year life, not the 30 required by Australia?

While double pressure hulls increase a submarine’s reserve of buoyancy, they also increase cost and complexity of manufacture, probably give a shorter planned sea life, and increase the wetted area of the submarine requiring more energy to propel the vessel underwater.

A 4,200 tonnes Soryu has a crewing capacity around the same as Israeli Navy’s 2,400 tonnes Dolphin 2 Class submarines. The physical layout inside the current Soryu won’t meet ergonomic standards for future RAN submariners, affecting their alertness, health and welfare during a long range/endurance mission. Arguably the current Japanese internal design is inefficient and a poor starting point for an evolved Soryu detailed design.”

PETE'S COMMENT

The Anonymous calculations and observations tend to reinforce comments I made in a Submarine Matters article of February 12, 2015 where I wrote:

"One additional issue is that the Japanese Navy has been running its submarines with the assumption the service life is 15-20 years - while Australia assumes submarines should be in service for at least 30 yours. This may or may not be a problem. After 15-20 years moving parts may or may not start to wear out. This may be most significant in the submarine's diesel engines and the very large electrical motor. Changing engines-motors is very heavy maintenance involving cutting into the submarine hull. This might only be possible in Japan for the Soryu? Maintenance realities may or may not be a problem.

Anonymous and Pete