I publish on subs, other naval, nuclear weapons & broad political issues. Aussie sub changes are slow: talk rather than actual new subs. The 1st Collins LOTE (ending 2029) may mainly concern the US Combat System. Trump may decide to cancel the AUKUS Virginia offer due to USN advice it needs all operational SSNs through to the 2040s. My colleagues Shawn C, Gessler & Ghalib Kabir are welcome to publish while I grieve a death in the family. Pete.
For https://news.yahoo.com/putin-overthrown-replaced-someone-even-worse-sir-alex-younger-083732732.html
Yes, a Kremlin "coup" could install a an even worse rightwing extremist than Putin.
Someone prepared to use chemical/poison gas weapons or a small nuke over Kyiv - that might kill Ukraine’s president Volodymyr Zelensky.
Another nasty Russian act might be to intentionally explode the fission materials in Ukraine's large Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant into the atmosphere - a huge dirty bomb. The reactors could be "undermined" by multi-tonne conventional explosives drilled/placed under the reactors. This intentional act cannot be nullified by the usual shut down mechanisms of a nuclear plant. More see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zaporizhzhia_Nuclear_Power_Plant#2022_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine
Going nuclear ‘anything’ will be a huge thing for Russia and it will effectively commit them to an escalation ladder with dangerous or even catastrophic consequences.
If I was putin and I really felt totally and utterly cornered with no off ramp of any sort, then I would be rolling out MIRVed Sarmat ICBMs. If that day arrives humanity will surely fight WW IV with sticks and stones π GhalibKabir
But light humour aside - I think the Russians have planned several failed operations to assassinate Zelensky. Sooner or later an operation might succeed. Infighting in the Ukrainian leadership remaining might then collapse Ukrainian resistance.
Alternatively continued Russia reversals might bring the death of Putin and with that Russia might see the light towards peace.
4 comments:
There's also the possibility that Putin could be replaced by someone even more extreme:
https://news.yahoo.com/putin-overthrown-replaced-someone-even-worse-sir-alex-younger-083732732.html
Thanks Anonymous @Oct 18, 2022, 2:40:00 AM
For https://news.yahoo.com/putin-overthrown-replaced-someone-even-worse-sir-alex-younger-083732732.html
Yes, a Kremlin "coup" could install a an even worse rightwing extremist than Putin.
Someone prepared to use chemical/poison gas weapons or a small nuke over Kyiv - that might kill Ukraine’s president Volodymyr Zelensky.
Another nasty Russian act might be to intentionally explode the fission materials in Ukraine's large Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant into the atmosphere - a huge dirty bomb. The reactors could be "undermined" by multi-tonne conventional explosives drilled/placed under the reactors. This intentional act cannot be nullified by the usual shut down mechanisms of a nuclear plant. More see
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zaporizhzhia_Nuclear_Power_Plant#2022_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine
Going nuclear ‘anything’ will be a huge thing for Russia and it will effectively commit them to an escalation ladder with dangerous or even catastrophic consequences.
If I was putin and I really felt totally and utterly cornered with no off ramp of any sort, then I would be rolling out MIRVed Sarmat ICBMs. If that day arrives humanity will surely fight WW IV with sticks and stones π
GhalibKabir
You be true GhalibKabir
Your "MIRVed Sarmat ICBMs" panacea would solve so much.
No more Earthlings so no more Covid.
Population growth resolved in a day.
No more Global Warming as Nuclear Winter would exist for millennia if not eons.
πππππππππππππ
But light humour aside - I think the Russians have planned several failed operations to assassinate Zelensky. Sooner or later an operation might succeed. Infighting in the Ukrainian leadership remaining might then collapse Ukrainian resistance.
Alternatively continued Russia reversals might bring the death of Putin and with that Russia might see the light towards peace.
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