It being more than a week
to April Fool’s
Day the Russian Government still floated the possibility that
two mothballed Typhoon SSBNs might be converted into enormous SSGNs. As the
particular Typhoons have been in corrosive seawater "storage" for 13
to 15 years - updating and modifying them might take more than 5 years and cost
$Billions that the Russians do not have.
ARTICLE
Defense World.Net
http://www.defenseworld.net/news/24507/Two_Russian_Typhoon_class_Subs_To_Carry_200_Kalibr_Missiles#.XJQ2uiIzbX5 on March
21, 2019 reports:
"Two Russian
Typhoon-Class Subs To Carry 200 Kalibr Missiles"
"Two
Russian Typhoon-class submarines, Arkhangelsk [launched 1986, decommissioned 2006, “still in
reserve”] and the Severstal [launched 1989, decommissioned 2004, “still in
reserve”] will be rearmed and developed in order to enable them to carry 200 Kalibr missiles each.
The Project
941 or Typhoon-class submarines had been withdrawn from service and kept at the
dock of the Zvyozdochka Ship Repair Center in Severodvinsk [Russia’s Northern
Fleet complex] slated for their subsequent disposal.
“We now plan
to re-equip these submarines with [probably mainly land attack, but also
anti-ship] Oniks, Tsirkon
[aka Zircon] and 200 Kalibr missiles,” TASS reported
[on the Typhoons also confusingly called “Akulas” in Russia] quoting
Vice-Admiral Oleg Burtsev as saying [March 20, 2019].
"The
dimensions of these submarines allow arming each of them with at least 200
cruise missiles," he said.
“American Ohio-class submarines
can carry 154 Tomahawk cruise missiles and Chinese Project 055
destroyer is capable of carrying 112 cruise missiles. But our frigates
belonging to the Project 22350 can currently carry only 16 of them. Subsequent
frigates will get 24 of them. It is still insufficient,” he added.
Russia has
also begun developing a modernized frigate under Project 22350, that is capable
of carrying 48 Kalibr cruise missiles.
"The
Northern Design Bureau has completed designing frigates of Project 22350M
capable of carrying up to 48 Kalibr cruise missiles,” TASS quoted a source from
the design bureau as saying Sunday.
The Kalibr
missileswere used by Russia in Syrian operations [and see]. The
Kalibr is Russian group of surface ship-, submarine-launched and airborne anti-ship
and coastal anti ship (AShM), land attack cruise missiles (LACM) and
anti-submarine missiles.
The country
also plans to develop ground-launched, longer range version of the Kalibr
cruise missile in 2019-2020, Sputnik quoted Russian Defence Minister Sergei
Shoigu as saying in early February [2019].
The longer range version could be in excess of 310 mile range which is the limit imposed under the Intermediate Nuclear Forces (INF) treaty.”
The longer range version could be in excess of 310 mile range which is the limit imposed under the Intermediate Nuclear Forces (INF) treaty.”
COMMENT
The Russian plan might be authentic and perhaps more importantly also hold propaganda value to exceed the cruise missile capacity of each US Ohio-class SSGN. The rather vague Russian comments are surprising as the two mothballed, by now very rusty, very old Typhoons (Arkhangelsk and Severstal) have sat in water virtually forgotten for over 13 years.
The Russian plan might be authentic and perhaps more importantly also hold propaganda value to exceed the cruise missile capacity of each US Ohio-class SSGN. The rather vague Russian comments are surprising as the two mothballed, by now very rusty, very old Typhoons (Arkhangelsk and Severstal) have sat in water virtually forgotten for over 13 years.
The major modifications of converting Typhoon SSBNs into SSGNs
might be to:
- treat and/or derust each Typhoon's massive steel outer hull and
Titanium its multiple inner-pressure hulls. Russia may have lost the
highly expensive industrial capability to work Titanium for
submarines.
- heavily modify each of the Typhoons 20 x single ballistic
missile (just over 2.4m
diameter launch tubes into 20 unique multipurpose tubes that
can each carry 10 Kalibr cruise missiles.
- develop a thoroughly modernised combat system electronics
suite for the major change of weaponry.
- and probably replace the corroded? defueled? 2 x 33 year
old nuclear
reactors on each Typhoon.
The cost of updating the 30+ year old Typhoon “Arkhangelsk” and
Severstal” in question may be more expensive than building 2 new
current/modified Russian Borei class SSGNs.
Russia already has Kilos,
Oscars, Akulas and Yasens that can already fire Kalibr cruise missiles. Large
Oscars (eg. the Project
949AM variant will (Starshiy advises) be able to vertically launch 64
Kalibr missiles as well as Oniks and Zircon. The first Oscar with this Kalibr
capability is K-132 Irkutsk (which
may come into service in 2021, followed by K-442
Chelyabinsk and K-456 Tver.
So the benefit of Typhoon
SSGNs may be mainly Putin phallic propaganda.
It will be interesting if this probable Russian propaganda further encourages those in the US who have been pushing for 4 or 5 additional future Columbia class subs to be SSGNs.
It will be interesting if this probable Russian propaganda further encourages those in the US who have been pushing for 4 or 5 additional future Columbia class subs to be SSGNs.
(Photo above) At 24,000 tonnes (surfaced) and
48,000 tonnes (submerged) the Soviet-Russian Project 941
Typhoons (photos above and below) are
the largest and most expensive submarines ever built. Expensive in part because
each uses 1,000s of tonnes of Titanium for its multiple pressure hulls.
Titanium is hugely expensive to mine, process, work into sheets and to weld on
a 1,000s tonnes scale. Like the Titanium
pressured hulled Alfas the Typhoons have been dubbed "golden submarines".
Their production did much to bankrupt the unbalanced Soviet economy by the late
1980s.
Diagram above indicates the Typhoon's intricate,
multiple, Titanium pressure hulls. The diagram is on several sites including “Sebastien Roblin’s,
Russia's
Typhoon Submarines are the Biggest Ever (Now Armed with 200 Cruise Missiles?)”
The National Interest, March 30, 2019.
Pete
15 comments:
Hi pete,
Basically, the Russians are copying America in a way of having options to to strike at land targets without using Nukes.
Hi Nicky
I think you're right in the sense that the Russians are increasingly developing conventionally (Kilo) and nuclear propelled (Oscar, smaller Akula and Yasen) submarines armed with conventional warhead cruise missiles for Land Attack.
The large Typhoon SSGNs (if true) emulate the Mass cruise missile bombardment US Ohio class SSGNs.
Regards
Pete
Long range cruise missiles are hardly cheap, that is why you see all these ships with mostly empty VLS. A Kalibr at ~$2-3M a piece, 200 pieces per Typhoon, that is >$500M doing nothing in peace time. Given Russia cannot even afford to develop AIP, I am guessing this is no more than vaporware and disinformation.
Besides SSBN traditionally try to stay far away from enemy waters where they can be somewhat protected. Even if a Kalibr can travel 2000-3000km, now these SSBN need to move out and into the killing zones of SSN or SSK to try to get much closer to their prospective targets.
KQN
That's a joke. As Pete underlined it, the cost will be so high that due to money shortage, they will be unable to arm others submarines.
Regards from Starshiy
HI Pete,
I think the Russians are looking for options to strike at targets, short of using Nukes. It's why you see Russians following the Americans and developing cruise missile shooters and turning old platforms into cruise missile shooters. A large Typhoon SSGN would be the biggest Cruise Missile shooter in the world. It would rival the Ohio class SSGN.
Thanks Starshiy
Regards
Pete
Hi KQN
Yes the cost of 200 x Kalibrs is likely too high for Russia. Only the US, with many times the defense budget can afford such numbers.
Indeed "vaporware and disinformation" with Putin/Russia claiming "we are still a military superpower, like the US."
Agree - If one assumes the main Russian Kalibr targets is the Middle East + Afghanistan then it would need to place these huge SSGN mode Typhoons relatively closer inshore than SLBM mode. So these Typhoons might sit in the closed waters of the Mediterranean, Red Seas or semi-closed Arabian Sea all with many undersea fixed and mobile (SSKs, SSNs and surface ships) sensors. Also putting the Typhhons in range of many ASW aircraft.
Regards
Pete
Hi Nicky K.D Chaleunphone [at 25/3/19 9:18 AM]
Yes I agree there is some logic of Russia rehabilitating some little used platforms (the 2 Typhhons) into large SSGN platforms, but PR value may be the main "logic".
In water submarines don't age well because of rust outside/inside hulls. They are also limited by preceding immersion-contraction cycles.
Russia already has Kilos, Oscars, Akulas and Yasens that can already fire Kalibr cruise missiles. Large (14,000 tonne surfaced) Oscars are already able to vertically and torpedo tube launch 100 Kalibrs.
So the benefit of Typhoon SSGNs may be mainly Putin phallic propaganda.
It will be interesting if this probable Russian propaganda further encourages those in the US who have been pushing for 4 or 5 Additional future Columbia class subs to be SSGNs.
Regards
Pete
The OScar II are not yet able to launch Kalibr. The first able to fire them will the K-132 Irkutsk, to day in Zvezda shipyard. She will be able to have 64 Kalbr at her maximum, or a mix of Kalibr, Oniks and Zyrcon.
Nowaday, she is planned to comme into service not before 2021, as 949AM class.
Two others are supposed to follw, K-442 Chelyabinsk and K456 Tver
Regards
Starshiy
Thanks Starshiy
I'll change the text accordingly.
Regards
Pete
Anonymous advises:
Russia has added a new capability to their Project 885 Yasen SSGNs. Yasens are now
able to fire their Kalibr missiles while docked in port.
The first test took place March 27-28, 2019 on K-560 Project 885 Yasen Severodvinsk. See
https://topwar.ru/156076-apl-severodvinsk-otstreljalas-kalibrami-ne-vyhodja-v-more.html
Regards
FYI, KQN
https://news.usni.org/2019/03/27/42212
Sebastien Roblin https://nationalinterest.org/profile/sebastien-roblin has written another excellent article for The National Interest:
"Russia's Typhoon Submarines are the Biggest Ever (Now Armed with 200 Cruise Missiles?)" of March 30, 2019 at https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/russias-typhoon-submarines-are-biggest-ever-now-armed-200-cruise-missiles-49727 siting my Typhoon article and questioning the viability of this Russian revamp intention.
Sebastien also includes a very useful diagram at the beginning illustrating the Typhoon's intricate, multiple, extremely expensive Titanium pressure hulls.
Pete
Confirming Anonymous [at 29/3/19 1:01 PM] advice "Yasens are now able to fire their Kalibr missiles while docked in port."
Is Thomas Nilsen's The Barents Observer's April 3, 2019 article https://thebarentsobserver.com/en/security/2019/04/russian-sub-launched-cruise-missile-without-leaving-port
"Russian sub launched cruise missile without leaving port"
[Russian Yasen-class multi-purpose submarine] "Severodvinsk" is Russia's most advanced submarine and is based less than 60 km from the border to Norway.
[small part] "The Russian Northern Fleet’s newest and most advanced multi-purpose submarine [the old multi-purpose are the Oscars], the “Severodvinsk”, has fired a Kalibr cruise missile without leaving the pier, Izvestia reports.
It is said to be the first time a nuclear-powered submarine has launched a cruise missile directly from the base, a move drastically shortening the time it takes to make a submarine’s weapons ready for combat. During Cold War times, Soviet ballistic missile submarines were ready to launch intercontinental nuclear weapons while moored, but according to Izvestia, this hasn’t previously been the case with multi-purpose submarines.
The submarine-launched version of Kalibr cruise missile has a range of up to 660 km."
COMMENT
The 660 km range seems far less than submarine launched 1,000+ km Tomahawks. But the main tradeoff is Kalibrs can have a solid rocket booster End Run of Mach 2.9 while Tomahawks can only maintain a jet propelled Mach 0.74.
Pete
Sebastien Roblin has published another fine article at The National Interest:
"Russia Wants to Take Its Monster Typhoon-Class Subs and Make them Missile Carriers" of April 22, 2019 https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/russia-wants-take-its-monster-typhoon-class-subs-and-make-them-missile-carriers-53662
on the problems and costs of revamping old Typhoons to handle cruise missiles.
Pete
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