The most comprehensive, up-to-date Asia-Pacific sub numbers-types map I've seen - at March 3, 2016. Australia's six Collins subs may need to be upgraded with Tomahawk cruise missiles to keep pace with Klubs fitted to Kilo subs of India, Vietnam, China, Russia and perhaps two future Indonesian Kilos. (Graphic courtesy news(dot)com(dot)au with this clearer, larger, image)
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The
leaking of Top Secret Cabinet documents on Future Submarine project timings has prompted Submarine Matters to draw together many details on the Collins "life extension" (or "midlife upgrade"). The midlife upgrade may result in much work for Lockheed Martin in cooperation with Saab and Thales.
The Australian Defence Department apparently has been advising for years that
the future subs would not be delivered until the early 2030s.
Defence sources said the handover of a future submarine by 2026 was always more of a political aspiration (of former Prime Minister Abbott) rather than a sensible shipbuilding schedule.
Australia’s six Collins subs were launched between 1993 and 2001 which, after the standard 30 years of operation, would usually lead to decommissioning between 2023 and 2031. A submarine midlife upgrade would aim to keep them operating until the mid-2030s.
In the meantime a midlife upgrade of the Collins might include more modern sonar, the latest software and hardware for its
AN/BYG-1 combat system, derusting, new batteries, overhaul of the diesel engines and maybe introducing Tomahawks. The upgrade would cost much more than A$2
Billion total.
TOMAHAWK CRUISE MISSILES
An additional item which Australia might include in the
Collins is Tomahawk (land attack and long range anti-ship) cruise missiles (compatible with the combat system) which would be launched through the torpedo tubes. Wikipedia
records: "During the [Collins] construction phase, consideration was given to
acquiring submarine-launchable Tomahawk cruise missiles; giving the [Collins
submarines] the capability to attack land targets after minor modifications.[44] Plans to acquire Tomahawk or similar land-attack missiles
remained under consideration until 2009, when the Defending Australia in the Asia Pacific Century: Force
2030 white paper was released; stating that
land-attack missiles will instead be incorporated into the armament of the Collins-class replacement."
With the future submarine delay a decision not to include Tomahawks could mean Australia falling behind in a region with increasing numbers of submarine fired Klub land attack cruise
missiles. This is noting that Kilo diesel electric submarines belonging to
Russia, India, China, and Vietnam are being fitted with land attack Klubs
missiles (with ranges varying from 300km to 2,500km (depending on user
modifications)). Indonesia may also buy two Kilo submarines fitted with Klubs.
UPGRADE WORK FOR LOCKHEED MARTIN, SAAB AND THALES
The life extension may result in much work for Lockheed Martin in cooperation with Saab and Thales. This is noting that the AN/BYG-1 combat system to be upgraded in the Collins is intertwined with the broader sensor, communications and weapon systems of the Collins. Lockheed Martin, Saab and Thales are already working together on submarines solutions. This may allow them to provide an integration solution for most of the upgrades required by the Collins. See Lockheed Martin on Tomahawks for US and UK submarines.
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Saab (as early as October 2015) publically anticipated the likely
timeline of the Future Submarines and need for a midlife upgrade of the
Collins. Nigel Pittaway in DefenseNews,
October 10, 2015 reported:
“Saab Pitches
Collins Submarine Upgrade
…Speaking at the Pacific 2015 Maritime Exhibition in
Sydney last week, a Saab senior executive said …a Collins midlife upgrade [will
be] a cost-effective measure to maintain capability…“In Australia, you have decided on a new submarine
program, which is fantastic, but it’s not going to be here for a number of
years…”
…Australia is looking to acquire up to 12 new conventional
submarines under Project Sea 1000, but has a tight timeline if it wishes to
avoid further full cycle docking overhauls, which will need to be performed on
at least two submarines if the Collins needs extending beyond 2030.
…However, the slow progress of the program is causing
concern that the submarines cannot be designed, selected and built in time to
avoid a Collins life extension.
…[Gunilla Fransson, Saab’s senior vice president, Security
& Defence Solutions] said that if Saab’s proposal for a Collins midlife
upgrade is accepted, the work would be undertaken in Australia. “You sustain the Collins boats here in Australia and I
don’t see any reason why you could not upgrade them here,” she said.
COLLINS TABLE
(heavily modified from Wikipedia)
Name
|
Laid down
|
Launched
|
Commissioned
|
Usual Decommissioning
30 years after Launch. (Upgrade to operate to?)
|
Namesake
|
14 Feb
1990
|
28 Aug
1993
|
27 Jul
1996
|
2023
(2033?) |
Vice Adm Collins
|
|
1 Mar
1991
|
15 Dec
1995
|
31 Jan
1998
|
2025
(2034?) |
Rear Adm Farncomb
|
|
19 Mar 1992
|
14 Mar
1997
|
10 Jul
1999
|
2027
(2035?) |
Capt Waller
|
|
4 Mar
1993
|
12 Mar
1998
|
23 Feb
2001
|
2028
(2035?) |
Capt Dechaineux
|
|
17 Feb
1994
|
1 May
1999
|
23 Feb
2001
|
2029
(2036?) |
Seaman Sheean
|
|
12 May
1995
|
26 Nov
2001
|
29 Mar
2003
|
2031
(2036?) |
Lt Cdr Rankin
|
That is about the price for 3 or 4 new Type 214 submarines.
ReplyDeleteThat would mean new and reliable engines, less crew required, AIP, ...
The submarines could be build on 4 yards (Germany, Greek, Turkey and Sourh Korea) at the same time.
Just an insane waste of money.
Regards,
MHalblaub
Arent those times in service since commisioniga bit misrepresentative?. Some have spent most of the time out of the water either waiting to undergo major upgrades to fix inherent problems, or once they were in service not have the crew to be operational.
ReplyDeleteAs Abbott said , they are a fragile asset, and became to big to fail or they would have been dumped like some more recent acquisitions. The difficult to understand part is that Australia risks repeating the whole new Collins escapade by paying some European manufacturer to design a new submarine from scratch. Those who would say 'lessons have been learned' forget that they are more often repeated viz Lockheed martin who went from one high tech problem plagued aircraft to another, seemingly having learned nothing.
And if you look at TKMS and the problems with building subs in Greece and Turkey, some will say, the same will happen here.
Hi Ztev
ReplyDeleteYes the Collins have probably spent more time being dry-dock Queens at the Adelaide shipyard than on operations. Problem is the special secrecy surrounding submarines means the scale of the dry land inefficiency is largely kept from the public.
If Australia is again allowed to build the submarines a Collins 2 situation is highly likely = late, way overbudget etc.
If the subs were built at Kiel (TKMS), Cherbourg (DCNS) or Kobe (MHI, KHI) some may well be ready around 2026 and for half the price of any Australian build.
But votes in South Australia and lesser extent in VIC, WA and NSW seems to Trump all.
Since the Collins the record of large-scale naval building in Adelaide hasn't improved - see the Air Warfare Destroyer Project http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-05-22/air-warfare-destroyer-hobart-launch-techport-adelaide/6487870 .
Regards
Pete
I personally think there is a path for part Australian production outside the pressure hull. Yes its seen as a jobs program, but it would have been cheaper and had more jobs if the the car industry subsidy's been kept on. What sort of madness throws away something you can do for something you cant.
ReplyDeleteGod knows what issues with the AAW destroyers will arise once they are expected to be operational, and they were supposed to be very little change.
Der Ztev Konrad,
ReplyDeleteThe Greek submarines had the problem Greek was not able to pay for them. So Greek tried to invent errors to avoid payments...
The Type 214 for Turkey isn't ready yet.
So I think you had the ROKS Type 214 in mind. There have been no official problems. The problems reported by some news were minor once.
South Korea started with Type 209 right at the same time as Australia with Collins-class. Now they export these type of submarines while the next generation is already commissioned and further units are on schedule.
The Australian need for range is strange. More smaller submarines would be cheaper.
Regards,
MHalblaub
Repair of the first Son Won-Il submarine (laid down 2002/Oct, launched 2006/Jun/09, commissioned 2007/Dec/27) to fix noise problem had started in 2011/Apr, but the recommission of this 214 submarine is yet reported. It seems to still stay in the dock.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.sankei.com/politics/news/151214/plt1512140001-n4.html
https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E5%AD%AB%E5%85%83%E4%B8%80_(%E6%BD%9C%E6%B0%B4%E8%89%A6)
Dear Anonymous,
Deleteyou should also read the German wiki according to Type 214.
The first order was just for 3 submarines. Another order for 6 more submarines was signed in 2009.
Therefore I doubt that the submarine had such troubles or would you order more of a broken car?
Regards,
MHalblaub
Hi Anonymous
ReplyDeleteSouth Korea has built several Son Won-Il (Type 214) submarines so overall S Korea appears happy with the type. see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Type_214_submarine#Vessels_by_nation
Regards
Pete
Hi Pete
ReplyDeleteEvaluation of TKMS 214 (SK) in Wikipedia depends on language used.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Type_214_submarine (EN)
https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/214%E5%9E%8B%E6%BD%9C%E6%B0%B4%E8%89%A6 (JPN)
Regards
Hi MHalblaub
ReplyDeleteI never order more of a broken car, but, someone did.
http://news.naver.com/main/ranking/read.nhn?mid=etc&sid1=111&rankingType=popular_day&oid=055&aid=0000288523&date=20141009&type=2&rankingSeq=2&rankingSectionId=100
Regards
It seems that ROK has committed to a submarine building program ( an existing design) and wants to make it an ongoing process.
ReplyDeleteGreece and Turkey seem to be just dreamers, with their rivalry means one is trying to outdo the other. But it doesnt seem TKMS is doing Turkey an favours and isnt holding up their end of the bargain.