Following Singapore's Surface Navy - Part One, August 19, 2020, the following are further points from Benjamin, based on his August 18, 2020 comments:
The m atter
was resolved with both sides reverting to the original status before the
dispute took place after diplomatic talks/pressure. So Malaysia did not get
what they came for in the end
Also see Benjamin's comments of August 20, 2020 here and here.
Pete Comment
Singapore's naval procurement strategy and process is a complex, ongoing, matter. It would also be interesting to focus, in similar depth, on Malaysian, Indonesian and Philippine surface ship procurement. All of those navies are also under pressure from encroaching Chinese naval, coastguard and naval militia/fishing fleets.
Singapore’s
Maritime Security Task Force (MSTF)(see Fact Sheet) was
formed in 2009, believed to be in security coordinational response to threats
from Islamic terrorists travelling by sea. The main fear was that Singapore was
vulnerable to an event like the seaborne Islamic terrorist Mumbai, India in 2008 (which led to the deaths of 165 Indians).
Why
was the announcement of purpose built ships for the Maritime Security Task
Force (MSTF) so recent if the future (around 2,500 ton) multi role combat vessel (MRCV) and joint multi-mission (large 10,000 ton? amphibious) ship (JMMS) were announced years earlier?
The
obvious reason was the rise in piracy along the Singapore Straits.
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Gard explains "According to data from the Regional Cooperation Agreement on Combating
Piracy and Armed Robbery against Ships in Asia Information Sharing Centre (ReCaap ISC), a
total of 31 piracy incidents, actual and attempted, were recorded in the
Singapore Strait by 30 December 2019 compared to seven in 2018."
So
far the reorganisation of the MSTF is seen in response to the increase in piracy
with the concern of terrorism where returning fighters from the Middle East are
returning to the region.
There
were speculations why the increase in piracy. From COVID-19 which created
economic hardships to the redeployment of naval vessels by the Indonesian Navy
to contested waters in the South China Sea (SCS).
Increased
pirate activity occurred before COVID hence such conclusion can't be drawn.
I am unsure
if Indonesian naval redeployments to Indonesia's joint armed forces base in the Natuna islands resulted in a
gap which created an opportunity for the pirates. The area concerned is the
Singapore Strait. Origin of redeployed ships is unclear. [See map above. It is 565km from Singapore to the Natuna islands.]
There
was a Maritime dispute between Singapore and Malaysia from 2018-2019 (map above) which I believe contributed to this restructuring as well. Here is a Singapore-Malaysia
maritime dispute timeline (up to April 8, 2019)
mainly over port limits [largely resolved]. The RSN deployed a Littoral mission
Vessel (LMV) [in coastguard mode] to the area much to the dismay of Malaysia.
Malaysia did not send any naval vessel. They deployed their maritime agency
vessels. It was a grey zone conflict with no clashing involved other than a cat
mouse chase https://youtu.be/KJiFQbbjdjk and one tanker made contact with their agency vessel - see https://www.seatrade-maritime.com/asia/collision-disputed-singapore-malaysia-waters-reignites-political-tension .
What
will these new purposed built ships look like? On one end it can be a lighter
version of the LMV. On the other end it can be based on the [1,250 ton] Fearless 75.
Smaller
than the LMV, these vessels are catered towards localised waters - see https://defpost.com/singapores-maritime-security-task-force-to-acquire-new-purpose-built-platforms/?amp
Also see Benjamin's comments of August 20, 2020 here and here.
(Handy map showing tiny Singapore island's proximity to the vital Strait of Malacca trade narrow. Singapore is geographically sandwiched between Malaysia and Indonesia.)
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Pete Comment
Singapore's naval procurement strategy and process is a complex, ongoing, matter. It would also be interesting to focus, in similar depth, on Malaysian, Indonesian and Philippine surface ship procurement. All of those navies are also under pressure from encroaching Chinese naval, coastguard and naval militia/fishing fleets.
G'day,
ReplyDeleteHave been busy with my monthly deadlines, so missed your blog articles on Singapore's Navy.
A couple of points you missed out:
Malaysian-Singaporean border issues - seen by most Singaporean's as ye olde Mahathir 'Whipping boy' tactic - whenever he's Malaysian PM these issues suddenly crop up again. Since he lost power early this year all these issues have been 'settled', though the HSR project is still suspended due to the Covid-19 pandemic.
RSN patrol forces - I was actually surprised that when the Independence-class LMVs were being built, they bought new 76mm Oto Melera guns, instead of refurbishing the 12 that were from the Fearless class, or even reuse the gun module from the stricken RSN Courageous. I assume that this was so that the Fearless class could be gifted to other navies like the Philippines or East Timor (some of the class were 20 years old when decommissioned, so potentially could be upgraded for another 15-20 years of service).
Nevertherless, 4 of the class will be re-commissioned for the MSTF (at least as interim vessels), as well as two new builds, which look like the revamped Fearless 75 class. Interesting that the last three Fearless class decommissioned in August 2019 were the all ASW variants.
Note: Majority of recent piracy attacks in Singapore waters are sea robberies.
Anti-submarine warfare - You seemed to have not noticed a major shift in the RSN's anti-submarine forces. Right now only the 6 Formidable class are surface ASW platforms with hull and towed sonar, plus S70B Seahawks, the five Fearless class ASW ships (with hull-mounted medium sonar and surface torpedos) have been retired, while the Victory class MCVs lost their ASW capabilities during their 2012 MLU (could be their Thomson Sintra TSM 2064 VDS sonar systems became obsolete).
The LMVs don't have any advertised ASW capabilities.
Size of JMMS
The Endurance 'LPH' concept design has been getting bigger over the years. The design was first shown as the Endurance 160 in 2010
http://kementah.blogspot.com/2010/11/lots-to-deliver-singapore-technologies.html
In 2017 a bigger Endurance 170 was showcased, a modified version of this design was shown at IMDEX 2019
https://www.navyrecognition.com/index.php/news/naval-exhibitions/2017-archives/imdex-asia-2017-show-daily-news/5257-imdex-asia-2017-st-marine-unveiled-the-endurance-170-lhd.html
I expect that there will be further 'tuning' of the design towards JMMS, and as I mentioned previously, they should be scheduled for service after 2030, when coincidently, Singapore should also have F-35Bs in commission.
Thanks Shawn C [at August 22, 2020 at 8:37 PM]
ReplyDeleteTaking your points in turn.
I see the "HSR" to which you refer is the proposed Kuala Lumpur–Singapore high-speed rail (HSR). It was announced by then Malaysian's Prime Minister, Najib Razak, in September 2010 and now suspended due to COVID health concerns and both nations' economic downturns https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kuala_Lumpur%E2%80%93Singapore_high-speed_rail
Interesting that the 1,200 ton Independence-class LMVs have a 76mm main gun while Australia's new 1,640 ton https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arafura-class_offshore_patrol_vessel being built will only have a 40mm gun. Different guns for different vessel functions...
If East Timor (ET) receives Singo's Fearless class this will be on top of patrol boats also gifted to ET by Portugal, China, South Korea, and Australia. With only 80 people the still new ET navy's ability to absorb and use 5 very different types of patrol boats will be interesting. ET may become a veritable Museum of Old and Some NEW Patrol Boats extravagantly gifted with the best of intentions. see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timor_Leste_Defence_Force#Naval_Component
As I was merely receiving info I didn't mention all aspects of Singa's Navy eg. the Formidable class frigates at all, let alone their ASW role. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Formidable-class_frigate .
Leaving your JMMS, Endurance 'LPH' 160, 170, F-35B comments to you.
So much is stated and known about friendly armed forces (like Singapore's and the US's) that more interesting information on others in the region is unhelpfully neglected.
Cheers
Pete
Singapore does not really do charity work when it comes to defence equipment imo. In a long time nothing was heard about donating. Most likely for something in return/exchange like the F16A/Bs to the Thais for us to train there.
ReplyDeleteOtherwise those fearless class are going to be scrap.
Thanks Benjamin
ReplyDeleteYes Singapore would want something-for-something and would recognise that the Philippines is now rich enough to buy its own new vessels, eg. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_equipment_of_the_Philippine_Navy#Jose_Rizal_frigate
While East Timor is receiving 2 Australian Guardian class patrol boats each only requiring 23 crew. In contrast I assume the old Fearless class would need a larger crew and much maintenance (sapping the ET navy's limited resources) to keep them functioning.
Cheers
Pete
yeah either you pay for it at 2nd hand price or you offer something (training opportunities)
DeleteAfter all we have this saying
No one owes Singapore a living.
Likewise i think every nation out there should live by that phrase. Dont expect free stuff and goodies. Be independent as best as you can be.