tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19245896.post1403203018316431845..comments2024-03-29T18:47:52.197+11:00Comments on Submarine Matters & Australian Nuclear Weapons: Connection to all the up-to-date Trump Transition Team detailsPete2http://www.blogger.com/profile/06134037393078707072noreply@blogger.comBlogger11125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19245896.post-4294635711839587352016-12-02T17:04:32.717+11:002016-12-02T17:04:32.717+11:00Hi S
I think it likely Trump's pattern of say...Hi S<br /><br />I think it likely Trump's pattern of saying strange foreign policy statements (about Japan) for a domestic US audience was Trump's way a getting elected.<br /><br />Foreigh and Defence policy realities will limit Trump's freedom to change policies. Again Trump may risk upsetting US trade with Japan if Trump sharply altered defence/foreign policy regarding Japan.<br /><br />Poorer US relations with Japan (and ROK) might mean the US has to rely more heavily on trade with China. I don't think Trump wants to favor reliance on an increasingly economically powerful China. <br /><br />Regards<br /><br />PetePetehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02624742078679760819noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19245896.post-50572309893733879572016-12-02T16:54:01.252+11:002016-12-02T16:54:01.252+11:00Hi again KQN [at 17/11/16 6:13 AM]
Yes I think Tr...Hi again KQN [at 17/11/16 6:13 AM]<br /><br />Yes I think Trump may also note the high economic value of ROK and Japan to US trade. Such valuable economic assets will continue to need US military protection. <br /><br />Also if Trump wants to expand the fighting strength of the Marine Corps and boost Navy ship numbers he will need to justify these defence investments by maintaining or expanding existing US bases in ROK and Japan. Expanded US forces cannot hang around bases in thee continental US.<br /><br />Yes Trump may well ask ROK and Japan to increase funding for these resident troops and sailors.<br /><br />Regards<br /><br />PetePetehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02624742078679760819noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19245896.post-85347099285603011722016-12-02T16:44:37.781+11:002016-12-02T16:44:37.781+11:00HI KQN [on Trump Admin appointments 17/11/16 6:08 ...HI KQN [on Trump Admin appointments 17/11/16 6:08 AM and 17/11/16 3:31 PM ]<br /><br />I think rapid changes and replacements will continue.<br /><br />- Trump has not settled the basic political complexion of a future Trump Administration:<br /><br /> = Rightwing OR Centrist, <br /><br /> = Intervention in the Foreign Dealings of American companies OR Free Market.<br /><br />- Also I think the Trump Team's relative inexperience with governance and Trump's shoot from the Lip leadership style will also make for a constant turnover of office holders before and after his Inauguration.<br /><br />PetePetehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02624742078679760819noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19245896.post-67068837074429151052016-11-25T20:50:11.116+11:002016-11-25T20:50:11.116+11:00Hi Pete
According to various Japenese sources, th...Hi Pete<br /><br />According to various Japenese sources, the Japanese government is relieved to President-elect Trump.<br /><br />After Mr. Trump critized security free ride of Japan, Japanese ambassador, Mr.Sasae promptly met US Senator Mr. Jeff Sessions and explained contribution of Japan in detail. Then, Trump stopped to criticize Japanese government. Japanese government learned that Mr.Jeff Sessions were influential person for Mr. Trump, and that Mr.Trump was logical and listened to others. [1] <br /><br />Initially, time of Trump-Abe meeting in NY was set for two hours, but the White House requested for one hour meeting. Then, Mr. Trump accepted the request and stopped lunch meetin with PM Abe. Japanese government understood that Mr. Trump judges things properly [2].<br /><br />I do not think PM Abe trusts completely Japan Ministy of Foreign Affairs (MOFA), because of defeat in Hague and misjudgement of US Presidential election. According to [2], MOFA believed winning of Ms. Clinton, but PM Abe suggested possibility of winning of Mr. Trump. Now, President-elect Trump manifested withdrawing of TPP, and Presdent Putin showed hard-line stance on issues of northern territories. Judging from past behavior of PM Abe, he may take these matters into consideration. <br /><br />[1] Weekly Bunshun, Nov/24/2016, page 23.<br />[2] http://www.j-cast.com/tv/2016/11/18283765.html?p=all<br /><br />Regards<br />S<br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19245896.post-13939341427163170172016-11-17T15:31:04.077+11:002016-11-17T15:31:04.077+11:00Twists and turns. Now the rumors are flying that N...Twists and turns. Now the rumors are flying that Nikki Haley, the current 2 term governor of South carolina is a candidate for the post of secretary of state in a Trump administration. Governor Haley is a rising star in the Republican Party. She is of Indian descent. If Mrs.Haley is chosen, this hiring clearly sends a strategic reassuring signal which could be good news to PM Abe. India would be ecstatic. Mrs Haley will also meet Mr. Trump on the same day PM Abe does.<br />KQNAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19245896.post-16569313360317262762016-11-17T06:13:21.741+11:002016-11-17T06:13:21.741+11:00Pete,
I do not see Trump closing ROK and Japan bas...Pete,<br />I do not see Trump closing ROK and Japan bases. It is pure simple economics. ROK and Japan are already paying for part of those expenses, essentially putting US personnel on ROK and Japanese payrolls. If these bases are closed and those troops are moved back to the US, Mr Trump has to pay those troops out of his own DOD budget, budget that he hardly has the room for since he wants to increase Army and USMC troop strength, buy new ships and new planes, etc.. And then there is this $500B++ infrastructure to pay for as well. Throw in the tax cuts for the wealthy, I say even the printing presses cannot run fast enough to cover. No doubt he wants ROK and Japan to pay more since there is already insufficient funds back home.<br />KQNAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19245896.post-25409284989027309452016-11-17T06:08:05.032+11:002016-11-17T06:08:05.032+11:00Newspapers report that Rogers was ousted by influe...Newspapers report that Rogers was ousted by influential Trump's son in law as Rogers was close to NJ governor Christie (who was also ousted from the Transition team). Christie was a former NJ prosecutor and he made his fame by putting the son in law's father in jail for tax evasion, illegal campaign contributions and witness tampering.<br />KQNAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19245896.post-23125258905851611412016-11-16T13:11:20.527+11:002016-11-16T13:11:20.527+11:00Hi KQN [at 16/11/16 7:44 AM]
Rogers hasty appoin...Hi KQN [at 16/11/16 7:44 AM] <br /><br />Rogers hasty appointment then departure might indicate a pattern emerging from Trump's underdeveloped policy directions or Trumps mercurial personality. This bodes ill for the future when Trump is actually Pres. <br /><br />Maybe Trump family members on the Transition Team (TT) didn't like Rogers. Rogers in Canberra, on old business, big guy in a one-toner in 2011?<br /><br />Regards<br /><br />PetePetehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02624742078679760819noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19245896.post-24951234971745643642016-11-16T12:44:49.722+11:002016-11-16T12:44:49.722+11:00Thanks KQN
http://foxtrotalpha.jalopnik.com/insid...Thanks KQN<br /><br />http://foxtrotalpha.jalopnik.com/inside-donald-trump-s-defense-plan-1789000504 shows how contradictory Trumps defence declarations are, so far.<br /><br />Making the policies work together will require huge readjustments in policies.<br /><br />Very telling that US bases in NE Asia are "dual-use". They help defend the countries they're in, but also project power into China's, Russia's and N Korea's backyards. Trump removing such bases would remove US power projection capabilities.<br /><br />Regards<br /><br />Pete Petehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02624742078679760819noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19245896.post-72823311061307507402016-11-16T07:44:19.384+11:002016-11-16T07:44:19.384+11:00Mr. Rogers is ousted from the transition team
KQNMr. Rogers is ousted from the transition team<br />KQNAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19245896.post-5222293414272537182016-11-16T07:19:19.576+11:002016-11-16T07:19:19.576+11:00Pete,
http://foxtrotalpha.jalopnik.com/inside-dona...Pete,<br />http://foxtrotalpha.jalopnik.com/inside-donald-trump-s-defense-plan-1789000504<br />FYI<br />KQNAnonymousnoreply@blogger.com